What is a Bull and a Bear Market?

In stock trading and investing there are bulls and bears. It sounds dangerous but it isn’t. You often hear of the market being bullish or bearish. So what is the definition of a bull market and what is a bear market?

A Bull Market

This is when the market is showing confidence. Indicators of confidence are prices going up, market indices like the NASDAQ go up too. Number of shares traded is also high and even the number of companies entering the stock market show that the market is confident.


These are bullish characteristics. If there is a run of bullish days then you may hear the market is a bull market. Technically though a bull market is a rise in value of the market of at least 20%. The huge rise of the Dow and NASDAQ during the tech boom is a good example of a bull market.


A Bear Market


A bear market is the opposite to a bull. If the markets fall by more than 20% then we have entered a bear market. A bear market is a market showing a lack of confidence. Prices hover at the same price then go down, indices fall too and volumes are stagnant. In a bear market people are waiting for the bulls to start driving the prices up again. However, a bear is a very tentative bull or a bull that is asleep.


Market Timing

Some people believe that by recognizing the different kinds of markets you can make money on stock trading and investing. The basic idea behind buying stocks is to buy low and sell high. This will give you a profit. So to make money you buy stocks in a bear market when stock prices are low and sell stocks in a bull market when stock prices are high. However, knowing when is the best time to buy and sell is not that simple.


Unfortunately, most investors are often too emotional and they sell in a bear market because they are scared to lose money and they buy in a bull market because they don’t want to miss the big gains. You can make some money that way but it also explains why many investors lose money by trying to time the market. The safest way to help prevent yourself from making these mistakes is to buy stocks and invest in the market by regularly making fixed size investments, and holding your investments for a long period of time.

Future of Stock trading

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US stock market daily report

US Stock market report and updates 

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Pfizer Inc. (PFE-NYSE) reported on Monday that their mid-stage trial for their breast cancer treatment Palbociclib, met the study's primary goal. The trial, referred to as Paloma-1, consisted of post-menopausal patients with locally advanced or newly diagnosed breast cancer that had spread to other parts of the body. Patients taking both palbociclib and letrozole went an average of 26.1 months before tumors worsened. That compared with 7.5 months for those taking letrozole without palbociclib. The 18.6-month difference was considered statistically significant. Detailed data from the trial results is expected to be presented at a scientific meeting in San Diego in April.

Based on initial data from the trial in April 2013, Palbociclib was designated a "breakthrough" drug by the FDA. Drugs that may offer substantial improvement over existing treatments for serious or life-threatening diseases are granted "breakthrough" status from the FDA, which can improve the speed of the drugs approval process.

A secondary goal of the study is to determine whether palbociclib can prolong overall survival. Spokeswoman for Pfizer, Sally Beatty said, because it takes longer periods to follow patients and gauge survival trends, that data is not yet available.

Palbociclib blocks enzymes known as cyclin-dependent kinase (CDKs) 4 and 6, was taken in combination with a standard treatment called letrozole among women who were estrogen receptor positive, meaning tumors grow in response to estrogen and HER2-negative, meaning that the HER2 protein is not causing the cancer. Such patients make up about 60% of advanced breast cancer cases. Letrozole is the chemical name of Femora, a Novartis AG drug that belongs to a class of treatments called aromatase inhibitors that block production of estrogen.

Pfizer said, "We are delighted with the final data." Further discussions of the successful data on progression-free survival are planned, with the U.S. Food and Drug Administration "to determine next steps" for palbociclib.

Side effects from palbociclib show that patients taking the drug combination experienced anemia, fatigue and neutropenia - a decline in white blood cells called neutrophils that can put patients at higher risk of infection.

Two late-stage trials of the drug have already begun in patients with advanced breast cancer - Paloma-2 and Paloma-3. 

As an initial treatment for breast cancer, Paloma-2 will test the same drug combination, palbociclib and letrozole.
 

In women whose breast cancer has progressed after hormonal therapy, Paloma-3 will evaluate palbociclib in combination with another hormone therapy, fulvestrant. Fulvestrant, is sold under the brand name Faslodex by AstraZeneca Plc and is a drug treatment of hormone receptor-positive metastatic breast cancer in postmenopausal women with disease progression following anti-estrogen therapy.

Pfizer remains in the forefront of a race for a new standard of care for breast cancer.

Breast cancer killed more than 577,190 women worldwide in 2012, according to the Cancer Treatment Centers of America.

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London Metal Exchange Inventory Data For Today

LME Inventory data for today

The London Metal Exchange is the world center for industrial metals trading and price-risk management. More than 80% of global non-ferrous business is conducted here and the prices discovered on our three trading platforms are used as the global benchmark.

LME is a commodities exchange in London, England, that deals in metal futures. Contracts on the exchange include aluminum, copper and zinc. Trading on the LME can be done in three main ways: through open outcry, a telephone system between member companies or the LME Select, an electronic trading platform. The LME is a non-ferrous exchange, which means that iron and steel are not traded on the exchange. 

LME Inventory data for today

Metal	Change from previous day
Aluminum	-7400
Copper	-2050
Lead	-500
Nickel	-162
Tin	Unchanged
Zinc	-6250

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U.S. Dollar Fell After Weak Data

The U.S. dollar fell after weak U.S. data on manufacturing activity in the United States

Asian and European trading sessions:

Euro: The euro was traded slightly higher against its competitors. Positive data for the euro area had considerable support Eurocurrency, but even they were not enough to hold near session highs. As it became known, the manufacturing sector grew in the eurozone last month a little more than originally expected. This was stated in the data that were presented today Markit Economics. According to the report, the final purchasing managers index, which assesses activity in the manufacturing sector rose to 54 points in January, compared with the initial assessment at the level of 53.9 points, and the final reading for December at 52.7 points. The last value was the highest since May 2011. Manufacturing PMI increased in each of the last four months and demonstrates an extension to July last year. The EUR / USD pair rose to $ 1.3520, and then dropped to $ 1.3498 during the European session.

British Pound: The pound declined significantly against the dollar, which was caused by the publication of weak data on Britain. Recent research results that were announced earlier today by Markit Economics and Chartered Institute, showed that UK manufacturing index fell slightly last month , beating forecasts while most experts . Nevertheless, despite the recession, the manufacturing sector continued to expand in January, reflecting the improvement in output and new orders growth. According to the report, the seasonally adjusted purchasing managers' index for the manufacturing sector fell last month to a level of 56.7 points, compared with a revised figure for December at the level of 57.2 points in December. Economists expected the index to decline to 57.1 from 57.3 points in December, which was originally reported. Although PMI is now and is at its lowest level in the last three months, it is still significantly higher than the average - at the level of 51.3 points. The GBP / USD pair fell to $ 1.6325 during the European session.

American trading session:

U.S. Dollar: The dollar fell after weak U.S. data on manufacturing activity in the United States. The index of business activity in the U.S. industry from Markit in January, according to final data, fell to 53.7, below the 11 -month high of 55.0 in December. January's value was the lowest since October, but the index remained above the level of 50.0, which is neutral. These points supported continued improvement of business conditions. In turn, data from the Institute for Supply Management (ISM), published on Monday, suggests that manufacturing activity in the U.S. in January has stalled due to lower inventories. According to the report, the Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) for the manufacturing the United States in January fell to 51.3 from 56.5 in December. Index value above 50 indicates growth in the sector of activity. The  economists had expected the index in January at 56.2 .

Gold: The price of gold grew on a weaker dollar after weak data on manufacturing activity in the United States. The cost of the April gold futures on the COMEX today rose to $ 1264.90 per ounce.

Oil: World oil prices were falling at the time, as the data indicated a slowdown in manufacturing activity in China and the U.S., which could lead to a drop in demand for fuel in the world's largest oil-consuming countries. March futures price for U.S. light crude oil WTI fell to $ 96.38 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX).

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Test How Emotional You Are During Your Trading

Take this test and check how Emotional you are

The following questionnaire asks you to assess your emotional experience during your trading. Specifically, you’ll be rating how often you’ve experienced the following feelings over the past two weeks. Below, we will explain how to score the questionnaire; please complete the items before looking at the scoring. After completing the test just check how much you score and follow my updates to get lot more interesting updates.My next post will explain how to interpret your results.

Please use the following scale for your responses:

1 = rarely
2 = occasionally
3 = sometimes
4 = often
5 = most of the time

1) I feel happy when I’m trading _____
2) I feel stressed when I’m trading _____
3) I feel alert and energetic when I’m trading _____
4) I feel discouraged when I’m trading _____
5) I feel capable of succeeding at my trading _____
6) I blame myself when my trading doesn’t work out _____
7) I feel satisfied with my trading results _____
8) I feel edgy and frustrated when I’m trading _____
9) I feel in control of what happens in my trading _____
10) I make impulsive decisions when I’m trading _____

SCORING

To get your Score just Click Check Your Score and found how much you score and what it means.

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LME Inventory Data For Today

LME Inventory data for today

The London Metal Exchange is the world center for industrial metals trading and price-risk management. More than 80% of global non-ferrous business is conducted here and the prices discovered on our three trading platforms are used as the global benchmark.


LME Inventory data for today 

Metal	Change from previous day
Aluminum	-7600
Copper	-650
Lead	-50
Nickel	-540
Tin	5
Zinc	-4350

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The Pros And Cons Of Automated Trading Systems

What Is An Automated Trading System?

Automated trading systems, also referred to as mechanical trading systems, algorithmic trading, automated trading or system trading, allow traders to establish specific rules for both trade entries and exits that, once programmed, can be automatically executed via a computer. The trade entry and exit rules can be based on simple conditions such as a moving average crossover, or can be complicated strategies that require a comprehensive understanding of the programming language specific to the user's trading platform, or the expertise of a qualified programmer. Automated trading systems typically require the use of software that is linked to a direct access broker, and any specific rules must be written in that platform's proprietary language.


Advantages of Automated Trading Systems

There is a long list of advantages to having a computer monitor the markets for trading opportunities and execute the trades, including:

Minimize Emotions.

Automated trading systems minimize emotions throughout the trading process. By keeping emotions in check, traders typically have an easier time sticking to the plan. Since trade orders are executed automatically once the trade rules have been met, traders will not be able to hesitate or question the trade.

Ability to Back Test.

Back testing applies trading rules to historical market data to determine the viability of the idea. When designing a system for automated trading, all rules need to be absolute, with no room for interpretation (the computer cannot make guesses – it has to be told exactly what to do). Traders can take these precise sets of rules and test them on historical data before risking money in live trading. Careful back testing allows traders to evaluate and fine-tune a trading idea, and to determine the system's expectancy

Preserve Discipline.

 Because the trade rules are established and trade execution is performed automatically, discipline is preserved even in volatile markets. Discipline is often lost due to emotional factors such as fear of taking a loss, or the desire to eke out a little more profit from a trade.

Achieve Consistency.

One of the biggest challenges in trading is to plan the trade and trade the plan. Even if a trading plan has the potential to be profitable, traders who ignore the rules are altering any expectancy the system would have had. There is no such thing as a trading plan that wins 100% of the time – losses are a part of the game. But losses can be psychologically traumatizing, so a trader who has two or three losing trades in a row might decide to skip the next trade.

Improved Order Entry Speed.

Since computers respond immediately to changing market conditions, automated systems are able to generate orders as soon as trade criteria are met. Getting in or out of a trade a few seconds earlier can make a big difference in the trade's outcome.

Diversify Trading.

 Automated trading systems permit the user to trade multiple accounts or various strategies at one time. This has the potential to spread risk over various instruments while creating a hedge against losing positions.


Disadvantages and Realities of Automated Trading Systems

 Automated trading systems boast many advantages, but there are some downfalls of and realties to which traders should be aware.

Mechanical failures.

The theory behind automated trading makes it seem simple: set up the software, program the rules and watch it trade.

Monitoring.

Although it would be great to turn on the computer and leave for the day, automated trading systems do require monitoring. This is due do the potential for mechanical failures, such as connectivity issues, power losses or computer crashes, and to system quirks.

Over-optimization.

 Though not specific to automated trading systems, traders who employ back testing techniques can create systems that look great on paper and perform terribly in a live market.

Online Robotic Stock Trading System

You may have heard about automated trading systems. These computer-based trading applications are set up to automatically buy and sell securities on an exchange. As an investor, you subscribe to an automated trading service and fund your account, but because everything is automated, you don't need to spend a lot of time reviewing how the system is working. If you discover over time that you don't like a particular service, you can unsubscribe and move on to another one.

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