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Tuesday, 15 April 2014

6 Best Confidence Booster Tips By Online Robotic Stock Trader


Smart ways to raise your self-esteem

1. Greet others with a smile and look them directly in the eye. A smile and direct eye contact convey confidence born of self-respect. In the same way, answer the phone pleasantly whether at work or at home, and when placing a call, give your name before asking to speak to the party you want to reach. Leading with your name underscores that a person with self-respect is making the call.

2. Always show real appreciation for a gift or compliment. Don’t downplay or sidestep expressions of affection or honor from others. The ability to accept or receive is a universal mark of an individual with solid self-esteem.

3. Don’t brag. It’s almost a paradox that genuine modesty is actually part of the capacity to gracefully receive compliments. People who brag about their exploits or demand special attention are simply trying to build themselves up in the eyes of others—and that’s because they don’t already perceive themselves as worthy of respect.

4. Don’t make your problems the centerpiece of your conversation. Talk positively about your life and the progress you’re trying to make. Be aware of any negative thinking and take notice of how often you complain. When you hear yourself criticize someone—and this includes self-criticism—find a way to be helpful instead of critical.

5. Respond to difficult times or depressing moments by increasing your level of productive activity.When your self-esteem is challenged, don’t sit around and fall victim to “paralysis by analysis.” The late Malcolm Forbes said, “Vehicles in motion use their generators to charge their own batteries. Unless you happen to be a golf cart, you can’t recharge your battery when you’re parked in the garage!”

6. Choose to see mistakes and rejections as opportunities to learn. View a misstep as the conclusion of one performance, not the end of your entire career. Refuse to see yourself as a failure, though you must own up to your shortcomings. A failure may be something you have done—and it may even be something you’ll have to do again on the way to success—but a failure is definitely not something you are. Even if you’re at a point where you’re feeling very negatively about yourself, be aware that you’re now ideally positioned to make rapid and dramatic improvement.

A negative self-evaluation, if it’s honest and insightful, takes much more courage and character than the self-delusions that underlie arrogance and conceit. I’ve seen the truth of this proven many times in my work with athletes. After an extremely poor performance, a team or an individual athlete often does much better the next time out, especially when the poor performance was so bad that there was simply no way to shirk responsibility for it. Disappointment, defeat, and even apparent failure are in no way permanent conditions unless we choose to make them so. On the contrary, these undeniably painful experiences can be the solid foundation on which to build future success.

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Friday, 11 April 2014

Investment Tips - This Man Will Make You Rich

John C. Bogle

Follow these rules from one of the world's legendary investors, and your future will be flush—guaranteed

OVERVIEW

John C. "Jack" Bogle, 84, has influenced your life in a major way—assuming you have a 401(k) or ever invested in a mutual fund. Back in 1975, Bogle created this radical tool called an "index fund," an intentionally boring mutual fund that mirrors the performance of a broad-market index. He championed low-cost, long-term investing and founded the only client-owned mutual-fund company, Vanguard, which manages a cool $2.1 trillion (but doesn't take a profit). Bogle has written 10 books that are essential reading for anyone investing today. (Start with 2008's Enough.) Want to retire with a pile of dough? Then read on.

Forget "The Market"

"When we all speak of 'the stock market,' it's meaningless. It's merely the value investors put on all those securities, thousands of different stocks with a value of $15 trillion. It goes up and it goes down, but in the long run it goes up. The stock market [fluctuation], therefore, is noise. A giant distraction from the business of investing."

Understand Your Role

"Your job is to capture as much of the market return as possible for as long as possible. The only way to start investing for a lifetime is to buy a broad-market index fund. Don't pick an actively managed mutual fund. Don't pick stocks. Don't pick hedge funds. In the long run, I believe in owning the stock market, not having a manager own little pieces of it for you."

Don't Kid Yourself

"I ask people: What is the intellectual basis for indexing? Reduce cost and you maximize your fair share of the market return. What is the intellectual basis for active managing or stock picking? It's basically 'I can do better.' Is that an intellectual basis? No! It's a hope, it's a brag, and it has no chance of ever being realized in the long run."

Seek Boredom

"I look at indexing as being simple and, sad to say, boring. Be bored by the process but elated by the outcome. In Vegas, it's the opposite. You're elated by the process, by the moment, but you're bored by the outcome because you know exactly what it'll be. The more you bet, the more you lose. Investing shouldn't give you a rush."

Think Ahead. Way Ahead

"It's foolishness to think you can beat the market. There are only two things working here: How much did it cost to get into the market, and how long are you in? If you're investing for a lifetime-and you should be, saving for retirement and educating your kids along the way—if you're 20 years old now, you should be thinking 60 or 65 years as your time horizon."

Forget "the Number"

"There used to be a company that purported to tell you 'the Number' [how much you need to retire]. It's more complex than that. It's what those dollars are worth in 30, 40, 50 years. Everyone is looking for the Answer, and there really isn't an answer except save. Save more. Invest for the long term, get cost out of the equation, and get diversified to the nth degree."

Invest, Don't Trade

"All the trading back and forth each day has been called financial pornography. Paying attention minute to minute, hanging on every word, this is not investing. This is trading on what you think other traders will do. How can you tell who's right and who's wrong? It's a casino. Whether it's Wall Street, the lottery, or Las Vegas, 'hope' is not a good investment strategy."

Do Some Math

"Should the market return 7 percent, and you're paying 2 percent to managers and brokers to get that 7, you get 5. [The rest] goes to the croupiers on Wall Street, the managers, the traders, the speculators."

Keep It Simple

"The rules are simple. If you don't save, you will have nothing. Guaranteed. Not investing is not an alternative. I have an age-based rule of thumb: Have a bond position that equals your age. If you're 25, have 25 percent in bonds, the rest in an index fund. Today, bond yields are so low, so this doesn't work quite as neatly as it worked for a long time. But it's simple."

Don't Peek at Statements

"This is one of the most important rules of investing. If you never peek from the age of 20 to the age of 70, you'll rip that first 401(k) statement open at age 70, and I recommend you have a doctor on hand because you'll go into a dead faint. Your heart might even stop. You're going to have an amount of money you can't even imagine."

Know Your Limitations

"Sometimes the market is valued way higher than the growth line, and sometimes it's valued way lower. If you could forecast that, you'd sell at the high and buy in at the low. But here's the thing: I don't know how to do it. I don't know anybody who knows how to do that. And I don't know anybody who knows anybody who knows how to do it. It's a fool's game."

Don't Panic, Be Cool

"In this decade, the heavy lifting will have to be done by stocks. If stocks deliver 7 percent, you'll have 100 percent return in 10 years. And there will be bumps! I don't want to deceive anyone. I can guarantee that there will be at least two or three 20 or 30 percent bear markets in that time frame. Just assume them. When they happen, just say, 'I knew that.'"

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Thursday, 10 April 2014

Top Wealth-Creating Stocks Defying Stock Market Sell-Off?

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With the broader stock market selling off, it’s amazing to see a company’s share price defy the near-term trend and appreciate in value. 

Time and time again, Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) gets bid when the broader market faces convulsion. It’s a powerful signal, and there is still a great deal of angst among institutional investors; they still want those dividends and the relative safety of earnings that are predictable. 

Johnson & Johnson has been—and continues to be—an excellent wealth creator. The stock’s been bouncing off $95.00 a share the last while and just recently, it seems to have broken past this price ceiling. 
There’s not a lot new with this position. One Wall Street firm recently boosted its earnings expectations for the company in 2015. Sales growth is expected to be in the low single-digits this year, but annual earnings growth combined with dividends should be in the low double digits once again. The company reports its first-quarter numbers on April 15. 

There’s definitely been a change in investor sentiment regarding speculative positions. Biotechnology stocks, which have been the market’s multiyear winning sector have finally seen investors book profits. It’s been long overdue and from a market perspective, is a healthy development for the primary trend. 
The selling migrated to large-cap technology names and the shakedown just might last a while longer. Anything can happen during an earnings season, but a “sell in May and go away” type of scenario is a real possibility again this year. 

Other blue chip names that are also defying the market’s recent action include 3M Company (MMM), Union Pacific Corporation (UNP), Kimberly-Clark Corporation (KMB), Microsoft Corporation (MSFT), Caterpillar Inc. (CAT), United Technologies Corporation (UTX), and The Walt Disney Company (DIS). 
Even though the Dow Jones Industrial Average pulled back with the NASDAQ Composite, many component companies are either pushing or trading right near their highs. This price resilience among the big names is important and makes me worry less about a change in the market’s primary trend. 
Johnson & Johnson boasts a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 15, according to Morningstar. The company’s been increasing its earnings per share consistently the last few years, along with its annual dividends. 

In 2009, the company paid out $1.93 per share. This grew to $2.25 by 2011 and to $2.59 in 2013. 
Even though this stock has gone up tremendously the last few years, it can keep doing so if it meets or beats consensus, because institutional investors want the company’s earnings reliability. Portfolio safety and risk are two very important attributes and recent market action illustrates how essential it is not to let investment risk and portfolio management go by the wayside. 

Johnson & Johnson has proven itself to be a dividend-paying stock that’s worth considering when it’s down. According to history, it’s not typically a company that’s down in price for long. Stocks that outperform the broader market over the long haul make for great bedrock positions in an equity portfolio. Johnson & Johnson’s been doing this for years.

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Tuesday, 8 April 2014

Wall Street Breakfast: Must-Know News By ORST

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Economy

Indians have begun to vote in the world's largest election, which involves an electorate of 815M people. The ballot comprises nine rounds and will take five weeks, and results are due on May 16. The favorite to win is the Bharatiya Janata Party led by Narendra Modi, who has business support. Hopes that he can form a stable coalition and revive India's moribund economy have boosted the country's markets recently.

Nigeria's economy has passed South Africa's to become the largest in Africa after the government overhauled the way it calculates GDP. Nigeria now estimates that the size of its economy is 80T naira ($488B) vs a World Bank 2012 figure of $262.6B. However, the country suffers from much poverty, corruption, a massive lack of infrastructure and rampant oil theft. Still, that hasn't stopped investment from the likes of GE (GE), Yum Brands (YUM) and Procter & Gamble (PG).

Stocks

Holcim and Lafarge, the world's two biggest cement makers, have agreed to an all-share merger of equals that will create a company with over $40B in annual sales and a market cap of $50B. To assuage antitrust concerns, the companies plan to sell assets worth 10-15% of their global EBITDA, which stands at €6.5B combined. At the time of writing, Holcim's (OTCPK:HCMLY) shares were +2% in Zurich and those of Lafarge (OTCPK:LFRGY) were +2.8% in Paris.

Potash Corp CEO Bill Doyle plans to step down in July after 15 years in the job and will be replaced by Jochen Tilk, the former head of Inmet Mining, which was acquired by First Quantum Minerals for C$4.9B last year. Tilk takes over at Potash (POT) amid a difficult market in which prices have fallen following the break-up of a major cartel.

BlackRock is giving new roles to at least 10 senior managers as it looks to prepare a successor to co-founder and CEO Laurence Fink. The money manager has promoted COO Charles Hallac to be Co-President with Robert Kapito, and given him the job of developing strategy and potential leaders. Rob Goldstein, the head of BlackRock's (BLK) institutional client business, will replace Hallac as COO.

Vivendi has decided to sell its SFR unit to Luxembourg-based cable and mobile provider Altice despite Bouygues (OTC:BOUYF) sweetening its offer for the mobile business at the last minute. Altice will pay €14.25B in cash and give Vivendi (OTCPK:VIVEF) a 20% stake in a company that will be created via the merger of SFR and Altice's French Numericable subsidiary. The whole deal is worth over €17B ($23.3B), above the €16-16.5B that Bouygues bid.

GlaxoSmithKline is investigating allegations of possible bribery in Iraq, the company said yesterday. GSK (GSK) was responding to a report that it had been warned that it was breaching U.S. and U.K. anti-bribery regulations by recruiting government-paid doctors to promote its products and paying for them to go to international conferences. Last summer, GSK was accused of bribery in China as part of an attempt to boost sales.

New York has reportedly opened a civil investigation into whether Credit Suisse (CS) lied about engineering tax shelters for U.S. citizens. The probe, led by Benjamin Lawsky, New York's financial services superintendent, adds to one by the Justice Department into the role that Credit Suisse played in helping U.S. citizens evade taxes. The DOJ could fine the bank over $780M, the amount that UBS (UBS) paid in a similar case.

Pfizer's Palbociclib treatment doubled progression-free survival to 20.2 months in a Phase 2 trial of 165 patients with advanced breast cancer. Palbociclib is part of a new class of drug called CDK 4/6 inhibitors, which limit the activity of two enzymes involved in cell division. Palbociclib is considered a potential blockbuster for Pfizer (PFE) and is forecast to sell $3.11B by 2020. Amgen (AMGN) would receive an 8% royalty on any sales.

Yahoo reportedly plans to order four full-length Web TV series and is willing to pay from $700,000 to a few million dollars per episode for half-hour comedies of 10 episodes. The report comes as Yahoo (YHOO) struggles to grow online ad revenue nearly two years into Marissa Mayer's tenure as CEO. Two previous original video series have ended production.

Sun Pharmaceutical Industries has agreed to acquire fellow Indian company Ranbaxy Laboratories for $3.2B in an all-stock deal that will create the world's fifth-largest generic-drug maker. The merger combines two firms that have had problems with quality issues. Ranbaxy, which is owned by Japan's Daiichi Sankyo (OTCPK:DSKYF), is banned from selling ingredients to the U.S., while Sun's Karkhadi facility is also not allowed to export products to the U.S.

Cnooc is reportedly thinking about selling its 50% holding in Argentina's Bridas Corp, which the Chinese offshore oil and gas explorer bought for $3.1B in 2010. Cnooc (CEO) would divest the stake if it can make a profit and would use the money for other projects. Hong Kong analyst Neil Beveridge would welcome a deal. "The contribution from Argentina is minimal, and the investment as a whole puts Cnooc in a passive position."

General Motors reportedly intends to invest $450M in two Michigan operations and add 1,400 jobs as part of the company's plans to build a redesigned Chevrolet Volt hybrid vehicle. An announcement about GM's (GM) program is set for tomorrow.

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Saturday, 5 April 2014

Economic Outlook For Rest Of 2014: Acceleration

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Summary
  • US households and businesses have accumulated enormous hoards of liquidity. The gradual normalization of risk aversion and liquidity preferences will drive a significant acceleration of spending growth.
  • On aggregate, the balance sheets of consumers and businesses - and their liquidity position in particular - are the most favorable they have been in the past three decades.
  • The average age of household consumer durables and US business capital stock is at a record high, suggesting that there is significant pent-up demand.
  • A self-sustaining cycle of improved sentiment, accelerated spending and higher income seems to have already kicked off.
  • In this report, I will briefly outline the impact of accelerated US growth on key investable asset classes, such as the S&P 500, 10Y US Treasury yields and gold.
In the wake of the financial crisis of 2007-2009, the recovery has been the weakest of any sustained economic expansion in US history. However, the US economy seems poised for a significant acceleration for the remainder of 2014.
Consumer Spending To Accelerate

Many analysts are still talking about "balance sheet recessions" and "household deleveraging." The problem is that was yesterday's news. After several years of restructuring, reduced spending growth, increased savings rates and debt-reduction, US household balance sheets are in better shape than they have been since the early to mid-1980s, based on a wide variety of metrics. Whether you look at debt service-to-income, debt-to-income, consumer loan delinquency rates, cash balances as a percent of income, or household net worth, the US consumer balance sheets are, on aggregate, in the best shape they have been in several decades.

Business Expenditure

There are several reasons to believe that the business expenditure cycle will accelerate appreciably in 2014.
First, the age of US capital stock is at an all-time high, meaning that there is considerable pent-up demand to replace equipment, software and the like.
Second, capital expenditures have started to rebound, but is still only at levels associated with previous economic cycle troughs. This suggests that capex must accelerate significantly in order to be able to cope with a normalization of consumer demand.

Risks

As with any forecast, there are risks. I briefly outline some of the major risks below:
  • Surging interest rates. My forecast of accelerated economic growth and concomitantly higher bond yields will bring about major risks of a disorderly adjustment by financial markets that could cause a subsequent slowdown in economic growth.
  • Instability in oil-producing countries. Surging oil prices have historically acted as recovery-killers. Therefore, instability in major oil-producing nations is always a looming threat.
  • China hard landing. The Chinese government has considerable monetary and fiscal leeway to attempt to engineer a soft landing. Having said that, given the enormous magnitude of economic imbalances in China, such an outcome is far from certain.
  • Europe relapse. The massive structural problems that beset the EU have not been adequately addressed, and the economic and political situation in many key countries remains fragile. Therefore, although my base case is for continued cyclical recovery, a relapse cannot be ruled out.
  • First-quarter weakness. Skeptics can point to the deceleration of economic activity in the first quarter as a negative indicator of growth going forward. However, a number of detailed analyses of regional weather trends and industry data have shown that the bulk of this deceleration has been weather-related. Underlying economic activity has remained solid and point to increasing strength.
Major Investment Implications

In my upcoming 2014 Investment Outlook, I will provide a much fuller overview of the impacts of my macroeconomic forecasts on various asset classes. For now, I will only briefly summarize a few of the implications that flow directly from the economic outlook that has been outlined in this report.

1. The bear market in bonds will intensify. Prices of long-term bonds, including long-term US Treasury Bonds, will probably perform poorly.

2. US equities will become more volatile, but significant new highs likely. Bond market instability could trigger stock market pullbacks and/or corrections. However, the combination of excess liquidity and the normalization of risk aversion and liquidity preferences suggests that equities should remain well-bid. S&P 500 and the Dow Jones Industrial Average should make significant new highs.

3. Continued emerging markets volatility. Accelerating US growth and rising bond yields are bad news for many emerging markets that are dependent on capital inflows. Emerging markets equities and funds, such as iShares MSCI Emerging Markets (EEM) are likely to continue to underperform.

4. Strong US dollar. Accelerated US economic growth and higher bond yields suggest a strong US dollar (UUP).

5. Gold and commodities. The prior four points are all negative for gold and commodities for the remainder of 2014.

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Thursday, 3 April 2014

6 Golden Rules For Profitable Stock Trading

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1). The typical trader who is struggling will look for outside information that completes the puzzle or “holy grail” of trading. Go and look at yourself in the mirror. This is the missing piece in the trading puzzle.

2). Mental rehearsal (of both positive and negative scenarios), positive imagery, inducing a relaxed state of mind, and developing daily rituals can help put you in the flow state of mind for trading.

3). The most important question a trader can ask: “Am I acting in my own best interest right now?”. Menaker explains why this question will help you define your risk and maximize your opportunities and trading results.

4). The very largest traders are focused primarily on risk management. Accepting and managing risk is a big part of trading. Some traders have difficulty following rules in this area. We should spend time learning about the mental biases humans have against suffering losses (see: Prospect Theory) and become aware of these showing up in our trading. Keep a trading journal to highlight awareness of these events.

5). “If I was forced to rank the importance of [various aspects] of trading, setups would be at the bottom of the list. Position sizing, risk management, and psychology are really what’s going to keep you out of trouble and ahead of the game. The best traders understand this and have internalized it.”.

6). You need to learn to do more of what works and less of what doesn’t. While it sounds obvious, many traders have difficulty with this as their unman aged emotions are interfering with their perceptions and trading process. 

7). If you are facing loss from your Stock Trading than you need to change your trading methods. So many traders are using traditional methods for stock trading but they are bot so effective now we need to use Automated Trading System to increase the trading profit. 

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Tuesday, 1 April 2014

S&P Long - Ask Yourself One Question, Do You Feel Lucky?


Summary
  • Varying reports and analysis of Russian troop movements seem to offer some hope and fuel for stocks and the SPDR S&P 500 (SPY) this morning.
  • Questions remain this week about Russia's intentions with regard to Ukraine and the broader region, and also about the Employment Situation Report due on Friday.
  • So investors considering going long stocks and the SPY security today had better first ask themselves, "Do I feel lucky?"
A couple of key elements threaten to shake up the market this week like a Colt 45 Magnum barrel lined up to your brain. Perhaps the most threatening of those is the geopolitical standoff between Russia and the West, with Ukraine held hostage in between. Major Western media sources are still talking today about the threatening Russian military presence along the Ukraine border and the lack of a deal after John Kerry met again with Sergei Lavrov for four hours Sunday. But other media outlets are today reporting a steady withdrawal of Russian forces, which would be on the demand of Kerry that no deal could be struck while those forces remain threatening Ukraine. So this week, SPDR S&P 500 (SPY) longs must ask yourselves one question, "Do I feel lucky?" Because the direction of these events will very likely direct capital into or out of the S&P 500 and stocks generally this week. Investors do not necessarily need to choose long or short, though; you can play it safe and remain long, while hedging against risk using these securities.

Somewhat Conflicting Messages from Varying Sources

On the one hand, from some media, we are hearing that Russian troops are withdrawing from the border. On the other hand, from Western major media sources early this AM, we had only been hearing that long talks between leaders have led to nothing thus far, and that Ukrainians are bracing for war. Even if Russia is withdrawing troops, it would not be the first time they had done so only to send them back in bigger numbers. Just see this story from March 4th. As I scribble here, Fox News just reported on television that Russia has announced that one battalion is withdrawing from the border with Ukraine after finishing military exercises, though according to Fox TV, Ukraine sources say they are simply repositioning. Obviously, anything is still possible, but a positive catalyst seems to have emerged this morning on such a withdrawal.

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1-Month Chart at Yahoo Finance

Extended valuation momentum names, which I feel had been harmed most over the last month by macro questions about the economy, the Fed and Russia, are mostly recovering sharply today. You can see how far they've fallen with a quick glance at the one-month chart above, which compares their performance to the SPDR S&P 500 security. Still, when considering their year-to-date performance and the trailing twelve-month data, you can see just how far these stocks had run into their most recent question.

SecurityThis AMYTDTTM
SPDR S&P 500+0.8%+1.3%+19.4%
Facebook (FB)+2.5%+12.2%+140%
Tesla (TSLA)-2.1%+39%+452%
Netflix (NFLX)+0.2%-2.2%+90%
3D Systems (DDD)+1.4%-35.6%+86%

Can the nearly one-point gain hold this week for the SPY? Well, there's more to worry about than just the sincerity of Russia. We will receive the latest Employment Situation data on Friday. Over the last several months, this data has been distressing, to say the least. However, economists are looking for an improvement in the report for March. The economists' consensus forecasts unemployment will dip to 6.6% from 6.7%, and that nonfarm payrolls will increase by 206K, a step up from February's 175K+. So, as we head into this week, the news and expectations so far are positive. But stocks have already recovered the ground they lost on the Crimea incursion and the Fed scare, save for the momentum names. So, in placing new long bets in stocks and the SPDR S&P 500, I think we must ask ourselves, "Do we feel lucky?"

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