Oil And Natural Gas Daily Review By Online Robotic Stock Trader

Crude Oil

Nymex crude oil prices declined around 0.2 percent yesterday on the back of expectations that tight lending in China may hamper the economic growth in world’s second largest economy thereby affecting the demand for the commodity. Further, unrest in Ukraine after gunmen occupied the government building exerted downside pressure in the crude oil prices.

However, sharp downside in the prices was prevented due to declining inventories at Cushing Oklahoma. Further, weakness in the DX also prevented sharp downside in the prices. Crude oil prices touched an intra-day low of $101.75/bbl and closed at $102.40/bbl in yesterday’s trading session.

In the Indian markets, prices fell by 0.8 percent and closed at Rs.6348/bbl after touching an intra-day low of Rs.6331/bbl on Thursday.

Natural Gas
 

Nymex natural gas declined by more than 4 percent yesterday due to less than expected fall in US natural gas inventories. Further, expectations of mild winter weather conditions exerted downside pressure on the prices.

Weakness in the DX failed to provide respite to the prices. Gas prices touched an intra-day low of $4.441/mmbtu and closed at $4.473/mmbtu in yesterday’s trade.

On the domestic bourses, prices slipped around 6 percent and closed at Rs.283.2/mmbtu after touching an intra-day low of Rs.277.30/ mmbtu on Thursday.


EIA Inventories Data

US Energy Information Administration (EIA) released its weekly inventories yesterday and US natural gas inventory declined less than expected by 95 billion cubic feet (bcf) which stood at 1.348 trillion cubic feet for the week ending on 21st February 2014.

Outlook
 

From the intra-day perspective, we expect crude oil prices to trade on a mixed note on the back of upbeat market sentiments coupled with weakness in the DX will support an upside in the prices. Further, declining inventories at Cushing Oklahoma hub will act as a positive factor. While on the other hand, unrest in Ukraine will exert downside pressure on the prices. Additionally, forecast for slow economic growth from the US along with statement from US Federal Reserve Chairperson yesterday to continue with QE tapering will act as a negative factor. In the Indian markets, movement in the Rupee will provide direction to the prices

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Wall Street's Secret 18.79% Investment Plan Exposed

Do Wall Street insiders have access to a predictable investment plan they don’t want average investors to know about? A plan that consistently rakes in 18.79%? A plan that works reliably through bull and bear markets virtually without fail?

According to one of my top investment experts, they do . . .

Now, while my team and I are no strangers to “financial conspiracies” (having uncovered several in the past decade working with whistle blowers, “in-the-know” billionaires, and muckraking journalists), what we recently discovered could be the biggest money-making cover-up in history.

Here’s what my top investment expert discovered:

In 1968, a group of the most reputable investment firms put together a research team for the sole purpose of detecting predictable buy and sell dates that occur every year for a handful of investments.

They dove into more than 10 years of data and what they found was remarkable.

They discovered 38 key dates for buying 19 specific investments. And if you bought and sold these 19 investments based on the exact 38 dates . . . you would be practically guaranteed high returns . . . so much so, that over the past 45 years, you would have been able to outperform the market consistently by 250%.

What was most shocking about this research was how this investment plan worked regardless of the economic climate. It performed reliably in both up and down markets.

These reputable investment firms put this data into a “secret calendar” and distributed it to high-level bankers, top investors, and trusted advisers.

And surprisingly, this calendar continues to work today — creating consistent profits.

In other words, for over 45 years, Wall Street insiders have had the chance to beat the market by 250% simply by following the 38 dates on this “secret calendar” — enjoying consistent high annual returns even through recessions, crashes, and stagnant markets.

But here’s where the story takes a strange, yet not at all surprising, turn.

Instead of sharing this calendar with their clients and helping them increase their wealth, financial planners continued to push the “buy and hold” strategy to their clients — an inferior investment plan.

The reason why, according to my top investment expert, was simple, “The ‘buy and hold’ strategy ensured the jobs of thousands of fund managers, brokers, and staff at these financial institutions. Releasing this information would lead to mayhem.”

Who is my top investment expert and how is it that he knows so much about this secret Wall Street calendar?

His name is Sean Hyman. He is a professional investor who frequently appears on Fox Business, CNBC, and Bloomberg, and is known for going against the grain of conventional investment advice, yet is almost always proven correct in the end.

Sean knows everything about Wall Street’s secret calendar because, by pure chance, he actually came across a rogue copy of it a few months ago. And, ever since then, he has been working with a former nuclear mathematician to tweak, refine, and back-test it. His latest research showed how this calendar could help an investor achieve an 18.79% annual return.

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UK stock market morning note

The FTSE 100 is called to open higher this morning following the gains overnight on Wall Street and in Asia. Today's economic diary sees the release of domestic retail sales data followed this afternoon in the US with existing home sales figures. Commodity prices are generally lower and on the foreign exchanges, the dollar is slightly higher against all the major currencies although trading continues to be range bound.

Company Announcements

Millennium & Copthorne Final Results sees record profits and group revenue up 53.9% and 35% to GBP263.6m and GBP1.03bn respectively driven by the Glyndebourne development in Singapore. However, hotel revenue fell 1.5% to GBP738m reflecting challenging market conditions in Asia and the impact of its refurbishment programme. RevPAR rose 3.4% to GBP69.58 and there is a final dividend of 11.51p and special dividend of 9.15p taking the total for the year to 22.74p, a rise of over 67%. It added that it remains cautiously optimistic about its full year 2014 performance despite uncertainty in some regions and poor weather in the US and UK in Q1, noting that it will be further impacted by its refurbishment programme. 

Xeros Intention to Float on AIM. It has confirmed its intention to raise funds and apply for the admission of its shares to trading on AIM which is expected to take place next month. The company has developed a patented polymer bead cleaning system reducing water, energy and chemical consumption. The IPO is expected to enable the company to accelerate its roll-out in commercial laundry and fund the R&D process through to commercialisation in other identified applications, not least in domestic laundry.

Shell Australian Downstream Businesses Disposal. It has confirmed it has reached agreement for the sale of its Australian downstream businesses (excluding Aviation) to Vitol for a total transaction value of USD2.6bn. The deal is subject to regulatory approvals and is expected to close in 2014.

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Economic Data For Today

Economic Data For Today 

Economic data refer to the Economic Census of establishments and various surveys and data for establishments and firms. With very few exceptions, the public use versions for these files are limited to data presented in aggregate form. The following tables list establishment and firm based data, the survey period, the frequency of data collection, the years of data available at CES, and the sponsoring federal agency. Access to these data will only be granted to qualified researchers on approved projects with authorization to use specific data sets.

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Industrial Metals Daily Review For Today

Base Metals

Base metals on the LME apart from Aluminum traded on a positive note yesterday taking cues from upbeat global market sentiments that boosted demand. Also, decline in inventories acted as a positive factor.

Base metals gained in the range of 0.5 – 1 percent with Nickel and being the biggest gainers in the group with a rise of 0.8 percent.

In the Indian markets, base metals traded on a positive note but Rupee appreciation capped sharp gains.


Copper

LME Copper prices gained around 0.5 percent yesterday on the back of rise in risk appetite in the markets that boosted demand for the red metal. Further, decline in LME copper inventories by 1 percent to 296,025 tonnes supported gains in the metal.

The red metal touched an intra-day high of $7206.5/tonne and closed at $7185/tonne on Monday.

In the Indian markets, copper prices rose around 0.4 percent but Rupee appreciation restricted sharp positive movement. MCX Copper prices closed at Rs.447.60/kg after touching an intra-day high of Rs.450.65/kg on Monday.


Outlook

We expect base metals prices to trade on a mixed note today taking cues from expectations of mixed economic data from the US and Euro Zone. Also, mixed global market sentiments will act as a negative factor.

While on the other hand, weakness in the DX will support an upside in the prices. Additionally, estimates of rise in Euro Zone economic sentiments will act as a positive factor.

In the Indian markets, Rupee has depreciated which will support an upside in the prices.

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European Stock Market, Economy and Companies Update For Today

Moody's raises outlook on Italy to stable from negative; affirms Baa2 sovereign rating, says Letta resignation did not alter expectations

- Japan Q4 preliminary GDP comes in weaker-than-expected with QoQ: reading of +0.3% a 12-month low vs.s 0.7%e
- (CN) China Jan New Yuan Loans hit a 4-year high (CNY1.3T vs. CNY1.1Te)
- Italy PD party chief meeting with President Napolitano on mandate to form new govt
- Trading volumes light with US markets closed for President Dat holiday


SPEAKERS/FIXED INCOME/FX/COMMODITIES/ERRATUM

Equities
Indices [Stoxx50 +0.6%, FTSE 100 +0.8% at 6,714, DAX +0.1% at 9,665, CAC-40 +0.0% at 4,340, IBEX-35 +0.1% at 10,137, FTSE MIB +0.1% at 20,453, SMI +0.2% at 8430, S&P 500 Futures +0.1 at 1,838]

- Market Focal Points: European markets opened broadly higher extending last week's gains (the best of the year) fueled by better than expected data out of China. Stocks have since given back most of their gains as traders lock in profits in very light trading ahead of a US holiday. Miners were up as gold continues to outperform nearing the $1325/oz level. The FTSE is outperforming to the upside with trouble insurer RSA leading the way after announcing a possible asset sale.

By Sector
- Consumer Discretionary [DCC DCC.UK +2.1% (lowers FY14 guidance), H&M HMB.SE +0.7% (Jan total sales +15%)]
- Basic Materials/Resources [ThyssenKrupp TKA.DE -1.4% (broker downgrade), Kazakhmys KAZ.UK +1.4% (to increase salaries), SGL Carbon SGL.DE +12% (to increase production)]
- Industrials [Bouygues EN.FR -0.6% (to take €1.4B writedown) Fiat F.IT -0.3% (Reaffirms Fy14)]
- Telecom [QSC QSC.DE -5% (won't meet 2016 targets)]
- Financials [RSA RSA.UK +3.1% (Looking to sell Canada biz), Hammerson HMSO.UK +1.9% (reports FY13 rise in earnings)]

Speakers:

- Germany Fin Min Schaeuble said to see tough negotiations on ESM aid to banks and did not expect rapid resolution to disagreement over ESM providing direct aid to banks. No resolution seen at today's finance minister meeting in Brussels. Unclear how must would have to be contributed by owners and investors before ESM could provide direct aid
- ESM's Regling stated that he saw crisis countries' banking sector in good shape and expected stress test to yield no big surprises in Greece, Ireland, Spain, Portugal or Cyprus. ESM preparing in case banks need additional capital after stress tests and can't get it from owners, investors, govts
- Sweden PM Reinfeldt: No tax cuts seen in next 2014-18 mandate period
- Sweden Fin Min Borg stated that the country would return to normal economic growth with 2.5-3.0% growth seen in coming years
- Poland Central Bank's Bratkowski commented that record low Base Rate was seen for most of 2014 and was in no rush to raise rates and believed that a dovish position would dominate the rate setters
- Turkey Deputy PM Babacan: There is room to maneuver in budget; overshoot would not be the end of the world
- OECD chief Gurria: EU growth remains weak buy region showing signs of receovery
- Russia considering buying few hundred thousands of barrels of oil per day from Iran
- India Fin Min Chidambaram interim budget speech lowered its FY14 Budget Deficit to GDP Ratio to 4.6% vs. 4.8% target. It also trimmed its outlook on FY14 GDP growth to 4.9% from .50%. It set FY15 Fiscal Deficit to GDP Target at 4.1%. To provide INR112B capital infusion into State-run (PSU) banks in FY14/15 and set FY15 gross market borrowing INR5.97T with Net borrowings at INR4.57T.

Currencies/Fixed Income:

- The USD consolidated its losess from last week in a quiet session.
- The JPY was only slightly weaker as the Japanese equites underperformed following weaker than expected Q4 growth data. USD/JPY at 101.87 in mid- European session trading.
- Italy 10-year govt bond yield below 3.65% lowest level since Feb 2006 as Italy PD party chief meets with President Napolitano on mandate to form new govt

Political/In the Papers:

- (DE) ECB's Weidmann: German Constitutional Court decision shows the court shares the Bundesbank's concerns about the OMT; expansionary monetary policy remains appropriate. Reiterates view that Expansionary monetary policy is justified, but low rates can not become a permanent condition.
- (GR) German Chancellor Merkel opposed the proposal by Fin Min Schaeuble to offer fresh aid to Greece ahead of May 25th European elections
- (JP) BOJ said to consider refraining from making a monetary-base forecast for 2015 to avoid committing to unprecedented easing for a specific period
- (JP) Japan Pension Fund (GPIF) reform panel head Ito: Recommends 50% of pension assets be placed in stocks; should increase annual return goal to 5% from 4.1% currently
- (JP) Japan Q4 preliminary GDP comes in weaker-than-expected with QoQ: reading of +0.3% a 12-month low vs.s 0.7%e
- (CN) 3 fund products in China managed by Beijing Roll-in Investment Management said to have delayed principal and dividend payment of approx CNY870M in early 2014
- 22 provinces in China lower GDP growth target for 2014; Beijing and Shanghai both lower 2014 GDP target to 7.5%, v 2013 GDP of 7.7%

Looking Ahead

All times listed for economic events are denominated in Eastern Standard Time (Add 5 hours for GMT equivalent)
- (AT) ECB's Nowotny speaks in London
- (UR) German Chancellor Merkel to host Ukrainian opposition leaders in Berlin
- (EU) ECB's Draghi to EcoFin in Brussels
- (IT) President Napolitano meeting with PD party chief Renzi to formally ask him to form a new govt
- (DK) Denmark Jan Wholesale Price Index M/M: No est v 0.3% prior; Y/Y: No est v -1.4% prior
- (SK) Slovakia Debt Agency (ARDAL) to sell 2023 Bonds
- 05:30 (HU) Hungary Debt Agency (AKK) to sell 6-month bills
- 05:30 (BE) Belgium Debt Agency to sell €2.5-3.5B in 2019, 2024 and 2041 OLO bonds
- 06:00 (NL) Netherlands Debt Agency (DSTA) to sell combined €4.0B in 3-month and 6-month Bills
- 06:00 (IL) Israel to sell 2016, 2024 and 2041 bonds
- 06:00 (BR) Brazil Feb FGV Inflation IGP-10 M/M: 0.3%e v 0.6% prior
- 06:30 (BR) Brazil Central Bank Weekly Economists Survey
- 06:45 (US) Daily Libor Fixing
- 07:00 (RO) Romania to sell RON500M in Bonds
- 08:00 (ES) Spain Debt Agency (Tesoro) announces size of upcoming auctions
- 08:50 (FR) France Debt Agency (AFT) to sell combined €8.2B in 3-month, 6-month and 12-month Bills
- 09:00 (PL) Poland Jan YTD Budget Balance Level
- 09:00 (EU) Euro-Area Finance Ministers meet in Brussels
- 09:00 (DE) German Chancellor Merkel with Belgium Royal couple
- 09:30 (EU) ECB calls for bids in 7-Day Main Refinancing Tender at fixed 0.25%
- 09:30 (EU) ECB announces prior settlements in SMP program to offset bond purchases
- 16:00 (CO) Colombia Dec Retail Sales Y/Y: 5.1%e v 5.3% prior
- 16:00 (CO) Colombia Dec Industrial Production Y/Y: +0.8%e v -0.6% prior
- 19:30 (AU) RBA Minutes of February Meeting
- (JP) Bank of Japan (BOJ) Monetary Policy Statement


Economic Data

- (PH) Philippines Dec Overseas Remittances: $2.2B (record high) v $2.1Be, Y/Y: 9.1% v 6.8%e
- (ES) Spain Dec Industrial Orders Y/Y: 4.6%; Industrial Orders WDA Y/Y: 7.8%- 03:00 (CZ) Czech Dec Export Price Index Y/Y: No est v 2.9% prior; Import Price Index Y/Y: No est v 1.0% prior
- (TR) Turkey Nov Unemployment Rate: 9.9% v 9.8%e
- (CZ) Czech Dec Export Price Index Y/Y: 6.0% v 2.9% prior; Import Price Index Y/Y: 3.8% v 1.0% prior
- (EU) ECB €135M borrowed in overnight loan facility vs. €1.1B prior; €29.9B parked in deposit facility vs. €26.1B prior - Daily Eurosystem Liquidity Conditions
- (GR) Greece Jan CPI EU Harmonized Y/Y: -1.4% v -1.6%e
- (IT) Italy Dec Current Account Balance: €1.9B v €2.8B prior

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Forex Updates With Latest Currency Exchange Rates For Today

Forex: US Dollar Sell off May Be Nearing an Important Turning Point

The US Dollar continued to face broad-based selling pressure at the start of the trading week as Asian markets played catch-up to Friday’s rally on Wall Street that brought the benchmark S&P 500 index to the highest level since January 22. The area corresponds with where prices traded on the eve of the knee-jerk selloff that materialized following the emergence of a diverse bouquet of emerging-market jitters. 

 

Meanwhile, the closely watched VIX volatility index – investors’ so-called “fear gauge” – has now all but returned to where it started when the panic began as well. Furthermore, the latest positioning figures from the CFTC show speculators are once again net-long S&P 500 futures having been the most net-short in eight months as of February 4.

 

An empty European economic calendar and a US market holiday are likely to keep things relatively quiet in the near term, but big-picture concerns may fuel renewed risk in the week ahead. On balance, the most significant pitfall remains the disparity between disappointing US economic data and the firm commitment to continue “tapering” QE asset purchases by the Federal Reserve.

 

Minutes from January’s FOMC meeting and the US CPI data take top billing. The US central bank seems intent to look through near-term performance and press with its $10 billion/month QE reduction cycle. For its part, the headline year-on-year inflation rate is seen rising to a six-month high.Softening growth dynamics coupled ebbing Fed support may stoke wider fears global growth concerns. Needless to say, that bodes ill for sentiment.

Currency Exchange Rates Today

Here you will find our full list of the foreign currency exchange rates today. Live and updated every minute with live forex rates, you can be sure of up-to-the-minute reference data at your disposal! Please remember, as with all data and figures on this website, the currency exchange rates shown should only be used as a guide. If you are facing loss in your trading and want to increase your trading profit just visit Online Robotic Stock trader. The ORST is a fully automated robotic trading platform which allows you to build your own trading strategies. If you want to see the demo of this system just fill your contact detail in the form below.

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Wall St. Week Ahead: U.S. stock investors face Fed view

NEW YORK (Reuters) - With economic data being shoveled aside like snow and earnings season winding down, U.S. stock investors could zero in next week on the Fed's view of the economy and technical analysis charts as the S&P 500 nears its record high.

Minutes of the Federal Reserve's most recent meeting of its policy-setting committee will be published on Wednesday, the second trading day of a holiday-shortened week in the United States. The U.S. stock market will be closed on Monday for Presidents Day.

Investor interest in the January 28-29 meeting's minutes will probably focus on discussions surrounding the Fed's forward guidance. The U.S. central bank's threshold that the U.S. unemployment rate must hit 6.5 percent before Fed policymakers will consider an increase in interest rates seems stale now. The

jobless rate is just a notch higher at 6.6 percent.

The Fed doesn't expect to start raising rates until at least late next year. So Wall Street will focus intently on the Fed's maneuvering over how to adjust this guidance, which is supportive of higher equity prices.

"We want to see any discussion on the language moving away from the thresholds," said Quincy Krosby, market strategist at Prudential Financial in Newark, New Jersey. "It's clear the thresholds are boxing them in."

"The market wants to hear they are flexible regarding data that perhaps continues to soften," she said. "Any sense of what it would take for them to pause the tapering will be important."

Fed Chair Janet Yellen said in her first congressional testimony earlier this week that "unseasonably cold temperatures ... may be affecting economic activity in the job market and elsewhere," giving traders a reason to dismiss a recent soft patch of economic data.

The Fed announced in December that it would begin to shrink the amount it spends monthly on asset purchases in its stimulus program to support the economy. The beginning of the end of the stimulus shifted market focus to fundamentals and economic data.

Traditionally market-moving numbers next week include U.S. housing starts on Wednesday and existing home sales on Friday, as well as producer and consumer price inflation on Wednesday and Thursday, respectively.

However if the recent pattern continues, any weakness in the numbers will be disregarded, blamed on excessive cold weather, and the market will move on.

"The market is getting used to the bad weather, factoring it in," said John Canally, investment strategist and economist for LPL Financial in Boston. "But the story is, it might get to April, when we get the March data, that we have a return to what the underlying strength of the economy looks like, and then that might be overstated."

PULL OUT YOUR CHARTS

In the coming week, technical analysis could fill the vacuum left by the uncertainty about how economic numbers reflect the underlying strength of the U.S. economy.

The S&P 500 traded on Tuesday above its 50-day moving average for the first time since January 24. That level, now near 1,811, served as support on a first test shortly after the open on Thursday.

That curve is again trending higher. Next week, the S&P 500's trading range could tighten as it approaches the 1,850 area, near the intraday and closing record highs set in mid-January.

"The 1,850 area is very important. It's safe to say there will be a good amount of sell interest up there," said Frank Cappelleri, equity sales trader and market technician at Instinet in New York.

He added, however, that "you could make the argument that there were a lot of people ready to sell near the 50-day moving average a few days ago, and the market just blew past it."

The market's momentum is on the upside, coming off the best two-week performance of the year. Unless stocks trade relatively flat for the week, support or resistance will have to give.

For the week, the Dow Jones industrial average (^DJI) and S&P 500 (^GSPC) each rose 2.3 percent, and the Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC) climbed 2.9 percent. By Friday's close, the three major U.S. stock indexes had scored their biggest weekly percentage gains of 2014 - and their first back-to-back weekly gains this year.

"Positive momentum came back into the picture, and people who missed the upturn put some money to work," Cappelleri said. "Indicators that were depressed have turned around, neutralized and are now back to overbought."

In the search for more catalysts to influence the stock market's direction next week, traders will have a few earnings to latch on to, with Coca-Cola Co (KO) and Wal-Mart Stores, Inc (WMT) as the headliners.

Coca-Cola, the world's largest soft drink company, will report fourth-quarter earnings on Tuesday before the U.S. stock market opens.

Wal-Mart is expected to post fourth-quarter results on Thursday, and more importantly, the world's largest retailer will give its 2014 earnings forecast.

With 398 S&P 500 companies having reported results so far, 66.3 percent have beaten earnings expectations, above the historical average of 63 percent. More than 64 percent have topped revenue forecasts, above the long-term average of 61 percent, both according to Thomson Reuters data.

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Crude Oil And Natural Gas Daily Review For Today

Natural Gas

Nymex natural gas prices gained around 8 percent yesterday on the back of decline in US natural gas inventories. Further, expectations of rise in demand for the commodity amid cool winter weather conditions in the US supported an upside in the prices. Additionally, weakness in the DX acted as a positive factor. Gas prices touched an intra-day high of $5.236/mmbtu and closed at $5.219/mmbtu in yesterday’s trade.

On the domestic front, prices gained by 3.3 percent and closed at Rs.318.7/mmbtu after touching an intra-day high of Rs.320.4/mmbtu on Thursday.

Crude Oil

Nymex crude oil prices traded on a flat note and gained marginally yesterday on the back of sharp decline in inventories at Cushing, Oklahoma. Further, weakness in the DX coupled with decline in US distillate and gasoline inventories supported an upside in the prices.

While on the other hand, unfavorable economic data from the US increased worries over demand for the commodity thereby exerting downside pressure on the prices. Additionally, rise in US crude oil production along with decline in demand from the US acted as a negative factor.

On the domestic bourses, prices jumped by 0.5 percent due to Rupee depreciation and closed at Rs.6253/bbl after touching an intra-day high of Rs.6258/bbl on Thursday.


EIA Inventories Data

US Energy Information Administration (EIA) released its weekly inventories yesterday and US natural gas inventory declined as expected by 237 billion cubic feet (bcf) which stood at 1.686 trillion cubic feet for the week ending on 7th February 2014.


Outlook

From the intra-day perspective, we expect crude oil prices to trade on a mixed note on the back of declining trend in inventories at Cushing, Oklahoma hub which was at the highest level in last four months will support an upside in the prices. Further, weakness in the DX coupled with expectations of optimistic economic data from Euro Zone and the US in the evening session will act as a positive factor. While on the other hand, decline in oil demand and increase in the crude oil production from the US will exert downside pressure on the prices. Additionally, more than expected rise in US crude oil inventories during the week will act as a negative factor. In the Indian markets, Rupee appreciation will cap sharp gains in the prices.

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LME Inventory Data For Today

LME Inventory data for today

LME is a commodities exchange in London, England, that deals in metal futures. Contracts on the exchange include aluminum, copper and zinc. Trading on the LME can be done in three main ways: through open outcry, a telephone system between member companies or the LME Select, an electronic trading platform. The LME is a non-ferrous exchange, which means that iron and steel are not traded on the exchange.  

London Metal Exchange Inventory data for today

Metal	Change from previous day
Aluminum	23900
Copper	-1375
Lead	-500
Nickel	588
Tin	50
Zinc	-5075

 LME Inventory has taken every precaution to provide the most accurate information possible. However it is provided without warranty or claim of reliability. It is accepted by the site visitor on the condition that errors or omissions shall not be made the basis for any claim, demand or cause for action. The information and data were obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but we do not guarantee its accuracy.

LME Inventory acts as a common carrier, providing universal, non-discriminatory access to all suppliers and consumers of information with respect to its discussion groups and contributed commentaries. LME Inventory does not exercise any editorial control over the content of the discussion groups or contributed commentaries. LME Inventory does not necessarily endorse any statements that are made or assert the truthfulness or reliability of the information provided.

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The Dollar Index Suspended After Its Five-Day Decline

Asian and European trading sessions:

 

Euro: 
  

The study of confidence of European investors Sentix revealed on its Monday monthly survey research that investor confidence in the euro zone unexpectedly improved in February. The investor sentiment index rose by 1.4 points to 13.3 points. The result was higher than the projected decline to 10.3 points. The improvement was mainly due to the increase in assessment of the current situation in February. Current situation index rose to 1.8 from 0.8 in January and was positive for the first time since August 2011. At the same time, investors' expectations have risen only slightly in February to 25.5 from 25.3 in January.

The euro kept data on industrial production in France. Industrial production in France increased at a slower pace in December, with growth rates gave way to the forecasts of economists showed on Monday, the latest data statistical office Insee. Industrial production grew by 0.5 % in December compared with the same month last year. Economists had expected a more rapid increase of 1 %. In November, production recorded a growth of 1.7 %.

Industrial production fell by 0.3 % compared to November, when it was recorded an increase of 1.2 %. Expectations were reducing by 0.1 %. During the three months ended in December, production increased by 0.3 % compared with the previous three-month period. Industrial production grew by 0.5 % in quarterly terms.

In Insee also noted that production in the French manufacturing sector expanded by 0.9 % year on year in December. On a monthly measurement of industrial production remained unchanged after rising 0.2 % in November. The EUR / USD pair rose to $ 1.3650 during the European session.

U.S. Dollar:

The dollar index suspended its five-day decline, even after January in the U.S. was created only 113 thousand jobs, and the unemployment rate fell to 6.6 % compared to 6.7% in December, said Friday the Ministry of Labour. The economists had expected an increase of the number of non-agricultural jobs in the 185 thousand unemployment fell to its lowest level since October 2008.

American trading session:

Swiss franc:

The Swiss franc rose against the U.S. dollar on the background of the earlier report, which showed that the unemployment rate remained stable at a seasonally adjusted at 3.2  % in January. Similarly, the unadjusted unemployment rate remained unchanged at 3.5  %.

In late January, there were about 153,260 people as unemployed, which are 3,823 more than compared to the previous month. Unemployment rose by 5102, compared with the corresponding period last year.

Unemployment among young people aged 15 to 24 years increased by 52 persons to 20 533 people. Nevertheless, the unemployment rate fell by 674 people compared to last year.

Canadian dollar:

The Canadian dollar was down against the U.S. dollar, which has been partly due to the Report on Canada. As it became known, in Canada the number of Housing Starts fell by 3.7 % m / m to an average of 180,248 units in January. January was the result of lower than forecast analysts expecting 184,000 bookmarks.

Gold: 

 Gold prices rose significantly today, as weak employment data in the U.S., which were presented at the end of last week, raised the question about the economic recovery, and a slowdown in stimulus from the Federal Reserve. The cost of the April gold futures on the COMEX today rose to $ 1274.30 per ounce for ounce.

Oil:

 Prices for Brent crude fell slightly, but will continue to be near five-week high above $ 109 a barrel as investors await comments regarding future policy the U.S. Federal Reserve. March futures price for U.S. light crude oil WTI (Light Sweet Crude Oil) rose to $ 100.27 per barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX).

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Oil And Natural Gas Daily Review By Online Robotic Stock Trader

Oil And Natural Gas Daily Review

Crude Oil

 

Nymex crude oil prices increased around 2.5 percent in the last week on the back of expectations of rise in demand for the fuel after decline in US unemployment rate coupled with rise in demand for the distillate. Further, weakness in the DX coupled with positive market sentiments in later part of the week supported an upside in the prices.

Additionally, restart of crude production from Libya after the end of protest that had shut the pipeline could not add downside pressure to the prices. Crude oil prices touched a weekly high of $100.24/bbl and closed at $99.90/bbl in the last trading session of the week.

On the domestic bourses, prices slipped marginally around 0.1 percent due to Rupee appreciation and closed at Rs.6161/bbl of Friday after touching a weekly high of Rs.6048/bbl.

Natural Gas

Nymex natural gas prices dropped by more than 3 percent in the prior week on the back of estimates of warm weather conditions by end of current month which will lead to decline in demand for the commodity.

However, weakness in the DX coupled with decline in gas inventories could not provide respite to fall in the prices. Gas prices touched a weekly low of $4.739/mmbtu and closed at $4.765/mmbtu in the last trade of the prior week.

On the domestic front, prices plunged by more than 6 percent due to appreciation in the Rupee and closed at Rs.300/mmbtu on Friday after touching a weekly low of Rs.295.6/mmbtu.

Outlook

From the intra-day perspective, we expect oil prices to trade higher on account of expectations of rise in demand for the fuel after decline in employment data from the US in the last week. Further, weakness in the DX coupled with upbeat market sentiments will support an upside in the prices. However, sharp upside in the prices will be capped or reversal can be seen due to restart of crude production in Libya.

In the Indian markets, Rupee appreciation will restrict sharp upside movement or even reversal in the prices

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6 Important Advice For Every Stock Investor For This Year

Stock Market trading Tips For Traders

A staggering 84% of respondents to a New Year's Resolution Survey from Allianz Life Insurance said that financial planning was not among their 2014 resolutions at all—the highest percentage ever to reveal that in the survey's history.


What held them back? Well, 30% said they don't believe they make enough money to "worry" about financial planning. That's bizarre. Shouldn't having less money increase your need to manage what you have effectively?Regardless of your situation, I hope you'll engage in the planning process this year—and the sooner you get started, the better.


Here are six key elements one should remember when planning their finances:

Maintain a well-diversified investment portfolio. 

Although the economy is improving, the stock market is at an all-time high and corporate profits are also showing signs of improvement, much weakness and uncertainty remain both in Indian and global markets. Therefore, this is no time to make big UN-calculated bets. Hence we recommend a diversified portfolio across sectors, market capitalization and if possible geographies. Stocks should include large-cap, mid-cap and small-cap; growth and value; developed and emerging markets. Your portfolio should also include real estate (diversified by type and geography) and bonds (government and corporate), as well as traditional Gold. One of the most cost-effective ways to accomplish this exposure to Gold is through exchange traded funds.


Rebalance the portfolio as needed. 

Most people never re balance their portfolios, which can cause their risks to rise and profits to fall. And many who do re balance do so on a calendar basis. We eschew that method as inefficient—who's to say you need to issue buys/sells/trades just because it's June 30? That's why we re balance our clients' accounts on a percentage basis. When a portfolio drifts beyond preset limits, we re balance—as often or as seldom as necessary. This requires a daily review of each portfolio, a chore our clients happily delegate to us. But you can do it, too, if you are willing to take the time.


Go for long-term bonds. 

The RBI has been increasing repo rates and we believe currently we are close to the peak on the interest rate cycle. Hence we are recommending investors to remain invested in longer term bonds and fixed income instruments. This will help reduce interest-rate risk while maintaining diversification.



Contribute the maximum to your retirement plan at work. 

If you can't put in the full amount now, increase your contribution each year until you can. And commit to placing half of future pay raises in the plan.


Review your estate plan.

Look at your will, trust documents, powers of attorney and beneficiaries on your retirement accounts, annuities and life insurance policies. People may have died or been born since you signed the documents, or you might not still feel as you once did about heirs. Reading the documents will give you the opportunity to update them.

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What is a Bull and a Bear Market?

In stock trading and investing there are bulls and bears. It sounds dangerous but it isn’t. You often hear of the market being bullish or bearish. So what is the definition of a bull market and what is a bear market?

A Bull Market

This is when the market is showing confidence. Indicators of confidence are prices going up, market indices like the NASDAQ go up too. Number of shares traded is also high and even the number of companies entering the stock market show that the market is confident.


These are bullish characteristics. If there is a run of bullish days then you may hear the market is a bull market. Technically though a bull market is a rise in value of the market of at least 20%. The huge rise of the Dow and NASDAQ during the tech boom is a good example of a bull market.


A Bear Market


A bear market is the opposite to a bull. If the markets fall by more than 20% then we have entered a bear market. A bear market is a market showing a lack of confidence. Prices hover at the same price then go down, indices fall too and volumes are stagnant. In a bear market people are waiting for the bulls to start driving the prices up again. However, a bear is a very tentative bull or a bull that is asleep.


Market Timing

Some people believe that by recognizing the different kinds of markets you can make money on stock trading and investing. The basic idea behind buying stocks is to buy low and sell high. This will give you a profit. So to make money you buy stocks in a bear market when stock prices are low and sell stocks in a bull market when stock prices are high. However, knowing when is the best time to buy and sell is not that simple.


Unfortunately, most investors are often too emotional and they sell in a bear market because they are scared to lose money and they buy in a bull market because they don’t want to miss the big gains. You can make some money that way but it also explains why many investors lose money by trying to time the market. The safest way to help prevent yourself from making these mistakes is to buy stocks and invest in the market by regularly making fixed size investments, and holding your investments for a long period of time.

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US stock market daily report

US Stock market report and updates 

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Pfizer Inc. (PFE-NYSE) reported on Monday that their mid-stage trial for their breast cancer treatment Palbociclib, met the study's primary goal. The trial, referred to as Paloma-1, consisted of post-menopausal patients with locally advanced or newly diagnosed breast cancer that had spread to other parts of the body. Patients taking both palbociclib and letrozole went an average of 26.1 months before tumors worsened. That compared with 7.5 months for those taking letrozole without palbociclib. The 18.6-month difference was considered statistically significant. Detailed data from the trial results is expected to be presented at a scientific meeting in San Diego in April.

Based on initial data from the trial in April 2013, Palbociclib was designated a "breakthrough" drug by the FDA. Drugs that may offer substantial improvement over existing treatments for serious or life-threatening diseases are granted "breakthrough" status from the FDA, which can improve the speed of the drugs approval process.

A secondary goal of the study is to determine whether palbociclib can prolong overall survival. Spokeswoman for Pfizer, Sally Beatty said, because it takes longer periods to follow patients and gauge survival trends, that data is not yet available.

Palbociclib blocks enzymes known as cyclin-dependent kinase (CDKs) 4 and 6, was taken in combination with a standard treatment called letrozole among women who were estrogen receptor positive, meaning tumors grow in response to estrogen and HER2-negative, meaning that the HER2 protein is not causing the cancer. Such patients make up about 60% of advanced breast cancer cases. Letrozole is the chemical name of Femora, a Novartis AG drug that belongs to a class of treatments called aromatase inhibitors that block production of estrogen.

Pfizer said, "We are delighted with the final data." Further discussions of the successful data on progression-free survival are planned, with the U.S. Food and Drug Administration "to determine next steps" for palbociclib.

Side effects from palbociclib show that patients taking the drug combination experienced anemia, fatigue and neutropenia - a decline in white blood cells called neutrophils that can put patients at higher risk of infection.

Two late-stage trials of the drug have already begun in patients with advanced breast cancer - Paloma-2 and Paloma-3. 

As an initial treatment for breast cancer, Paloma-2 will test the same drug combination, palbociclib and letrozole.
 

In women whose breast cancer has progressed after hormonal therapy, Paloma-3 will evaluate palbociclib in combination with another hormone therapy, fulvestrant. Fulvestrant, is sold under the brand name Faslodex by AstraZeneca Plc and is a drug treatment of hormone receptor-positive metastatic breast cancer in postmenopausal women with disease progression following anti-estrogen therapy.

Pfizer remains in the forefront of a race for a new standard of care for breast cancer.

Breast cancer killed more than 577,190 women worldwide in 2012, according to the Cancer Treatment Centers of America.

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London Metal Exchange Inventory Data For Today

LME Inventory data for today

The London Metal Exchange is the world center for industrial metals trading and price-risk management. More than 80% of global non-ferrous business is conducted here and the prices discovered on our three trading platforms are used as the global benchmark.

LME is a commodities exchange in London, England, that deals in metal futures. Contracts on the exchange include aluminum, copper and zinc. Trading on the LME can be done in three main ways: through open outcry, a telephone system between member companies or the LME Select, an electronic trading platform. The LME is a non-ferrous exchange, which means that iron and steel are not traded on the exchange. 

LME Inventory data for today

Metal	Change from previous day
Aluminum	-7400
Copper	-2050
Lead	-500
Nickel	-162
Tin	Unchanged
Zinc	-6250

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U.S. Dollar Fell After Weak Data

The U.S. dollar fell after weak U.S. data on manufacturing activity in the United States

Asian and European trading sessions:

Euro: The euro was traded slightly higher against its competitors. Positive data for the euro area had considerable support Eurocurrency, but even they were not enough to hold near session highs. As it became known, the manufacturing sector grew in the eurozone last month a little more than originally expected. This was stated in the data that were presented today Markit Economics. According to the report, the final purchasing managers index, which assesses activity in the manufacturing sector rose to 54 points in January, compared with the initial assessment at the level of 53.9 points, and the final reading for December at 52.7 points. The last value was the highest since May 2011. Manufacturing PMI increased in each of the last four months and demonstrates an extension to July last year. The EUR / USD pair rose to $ 1.3520, and then dropped to $ 1.3498 during the European session.

British Pound: The pound declined significantly against the dollar, which was caused by the publication of weak data on Britain. Recent research results that were announced earlier today by Markit Economics and Chartered Institute, showed that UK manufacturing index fell slightly last month , beating forecasts while most experts . Nevertheless, despite the recession, the manufacturing sector continued to expand in January, reflecting the improvement in output and new orders growth. According to the report, the seasonally adjusted purchasing managers' index for the manufacturing sector fell last month to a level of 56.7 points, compared with a revised figure for December at the level of 57.2 points in December. Economists expected the index to decline to 57.1 from 57.3 points in December, which was originally reported. Although PMI is now and is at its lowest level in the last three months, it is still significantly higher than the average - at the level of 51.3 points. The GBP / USD pair fell to $ 1.6325 during the European session.

American trading session:

U.S. Dollar: The dollar fell after weak U.S. data on manufacturing activity in the United States. The index of business activity in the U.S. industry from Markit in January, according to final data, fell to 53.7, below the 11 -month high of 55.0 in December. January's value was the lowest since October, but the index remained above the level of 50.0, which is neutral. These points supported continued improvement of business conditions. In turn, data from the Institute for Supply Management (ISM), published on Monday, suggests that manufacturing activity in the U.S. in January has stalled due to lower inventories. According to the report, the Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) for the manufacturing the United States in January fell to 51.3 from 56.5 in December. Index value above 50 indicates growth in the sector of activity. The  economists had expected the index in January at 56.2 .

Gold: The price of gold grew on a weaker dollar after weak data on manufacturing activity in the United States. The cost of the April gold futures on the COMEX today rose to $ 1264.90 per ounce.

Oil: World oil prices were falling at the time, as the data indicated a slowdown in manufacturing activity in China and the U.S., which could lead to a drop in demand for fuel in the world's largest oil-consuming countries. March futures price for U.S. light crude oil WTI fell to $ 96.38 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX).

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Test How Emotional You Are During Your Trading

Take this test and check how Emotional you are

The following questionnaire asks you to assess your emotional experience during your trading. Specifically, you’ll be rating how often you’ve experienced the following feelings over the past two weeks. Below, we will explain how to score the questionnaire; please complete the items before looking at the scoring. After completing the test just check how much you score and follow my updates to get lot more interesting updates.My next post will explain how to interpret your results.

Please use the following scale for your responses:

1 = rarely
2 = occasionally
3 = sometimes
4 = often
5 = most of the time

1) I feel happy when I’m trading _____
2) I feel stressed when I’m trading _____
3) I feel alert and energetic when I’m trading _____
4) I feel discouraged when I’m trading _____
5) I feel capable of succeeding at my trading _____
6) I blame myself when my trading doesn’t work out _____
7) I feel satisfied with my trading results _____
8) I feel edgy and frustrated when I’m trading _____
9) I feel in control of what happens in my trading _____
10) I make impulsive decisions when I’m trading _____

SCORING

To get your Score just Click Check Your Score and found how much you score and what it means.

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