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Wednesday, 30 April 2014

How To Invest When You Don’t Have Much Money

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For all the great strides Wall Street  has made in making investing easy and affordable for the average person over the past few decades, investing still costs money.  Most mutual funds have minimums in the thousands of dollars (not hundreds), and brokerage commissions make buying individual stocks prohibitively expensive if you only have a little to invest.  Even so, the power of compounding makes it imperative that you start investing as early as possible, even if you don’t have a lot of spare cash.  So, how to invest when you don’t have much cash?
Learning How To Invest with limited assets is a simple matter of knowing how to avoid getting ripped off by unscrupulous financial advisors.  Plenty of mutual funds out there have low minimums, but the majority of them charge outrageous fees for the privilege of handling your money or have such a narrow investment focus as to be useless.

How To Invest When You’re Broke

Look For All-In-One Funds With Low Minimums

There are plenty of low-cost, diversified mutual funds costing as little as $1000 to get started.  My favorite of the bunch is the Vanguard Star Fund, which just might be the perfect all-in-one fund for beginners.  It is a moderately-aggressive fund that invests in all the 4 major asset classes (domestic stocks, small-cap stocks, foreign stocks, bonds), carries an expense ratio of just 0.32% per year (as of 9/19/09), costs just $1000 to get started.  You probably won’t find an easier way to get started.
Alternatively, you could invest in a so-called target retirement fund from one of the major mutual fund companies.  Target funds usually cost a bit more to get started ($2,500-3,000 on average) but are designed to be a one-stop investment you can hold forever.You can also invest in Day Trader Software they are the best investing option which can give  you maximum return lifetime.

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If you have any query related with stock market trading then just fill this simple form and discuss your problems directly with market experts. you can also Email your queries at info@onlineroboticstocktrader.com

Monday, 28 April 2014

10 Useful Points For Every Trader

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1-You have no trading plan – you need to treat your trading like a business and plan how you’re going to trade. If you don’t have a trading plan, then google for it, there are loads of free resources out there to get you started.

2-You have no money management rules – You can start with the 1% rule and work from there. Calculate your risk for each trade and ensure it’s 1% or less of your trading capital.

3-You’re prone to emotional swings – If you feel tremendous excitement when you win a trade, then something’s wrong. Sure at first it’s exciting, but after a while your trading just becomes a process and the emotional aspects should start to fade.

4-You’re nervous when in a trade – This is usually a result of trading too big for your account size. See point 2.

 5-You try to predict rather than react – Leave the predictions for the economists. For every trade have a thesis for how you’re going to respond for different scenarios. Think in terms of “if x then y” type statements instead.

6-You revenge trade – The market doesn’t give a shit if you win or lose. Who are you having revenge on? This is more likely a result of you’re own unconscious desire to blow up your account and to go back to doing whatever it was before you played around in the markets.

7-You don’t cut your losses fast enough – Don’t just wait for your trade to “bounce back”, man up and take the loss. You can always re-enter if you see a good setup.

8-You watch every tick – Watching price action and reading the tape are important, but you should be able to multitask and not just stare at level 2 all day. Only watch the tape when you’re about to place a trade or exit, or at other levels you’ve set alerts for. Let your platform to watch every tick for you.

9-You never review your trades – If you’re an emotional trader, then this part of the process is the most boring for you. But if you’ve been trading for a while and want to get the most out of your system/strategy, then this is where you can make some good improvements. Just finding one tweak to either your entries/exists or position sizing or indicator setup can really pay and boost your P&L.

10-You’re losing MONEY – Sure, we all have losing trades (except some uber gurus), it’s part of the game. But if you’re losing money consistently, then chances are you’ve got to fix something from the list above.

To increase your trading profit you need to change your trading techniques as well. No a days technology is very helpful for stock traders and there are so many trading systems are present in the market to increase your trading profit. Online Robotic Stock Trader is one of the best trading system of 2014. This system is design to avoid the loss from your stock trading and also provide you regular profit.

If you have any query related with stock trading or you want to take expert guidance just fill this simple Form or Visit http://onlineroboticstocktrader.com/contact-us/

Friday, 25 April 2014

The 22 Rules of Trading

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Online Robotic Stock Trader Inc. Provide you Master Trader Dennis Gartman's 22 Rules of Trading, many of which you can apply to all sorts of life situations, as well as the markets.

Every day, Dennis Gartman gets up at bout 2:30 AM and writes an information packed 4 page newsletter on the world markets, oil, currencies, commodities political happenings and much more. He is read by the major trading houses and traders all over the world, as they stumble bleary eyed into work, grabbing the Gartman Report to find out what happened as they slept and to get insight as to what the issues of the day will be, and suggestions on how to trade. Dennis puts his trades on public display and talks you through his logic. It is a most remarkable work, and I find it a key part of my struggle in trying to keep up with what is going on. I am always amazed when on the occasions I find myself in the office at an early hour to find Dennis' letter hit my inbox about 5:00 AM. His travel schedule makes mine look tame, and from wherever in the world he finds himself, he writes and sends his letter. And he still maintains a single digit handicap on the golf course.

On the Friday after Thanksgiving, he publishes his "Rules of Trading," adding to them as wisdom increases. Here is today's list:

1. Never, under any circumstance add to a losing position.... ever! Nothing more need be said; to do otherwise will eventually and absolutely lead to ruin!

2. Trade like a mercenary guerrilla. We must fight on the winning side and be willing to change sides readily when one side has gained the upper hand.

3. Capital comes in two varieties: Mental and that which is in your pocket or account. Of the two types of capital, the mental is the more important and expensive of the two. Holding to losing positions costs measurable sums of actual capital, but it costs immeasurable sums of mental capital.

4. The objective is not to buy low and sell high, but to buy high and to sell higher. We can never know what price is "low." Nor can we know what price is "high." Always remember that sugar once fell from $1.25/lb to 2 cent/lb and seemed "cheap" many times along the way.

5. In bull markets we can only be long or neutral, and in bear markets we can only be short or neutral. That may seem self-evident; it is not, and it is a lesson learned too late by far too many.

6. "Markets can remain illogical longer than you or I can remain solvent," according to our good friend, Dr. A. Gary Shilling. Illogic often reigns and markets are enormously inefficient despite what the academics believe.

7. Sell markets that show the greatest weakness, and buy those that show the greatest strength. Metaphorically, when bearish, throw your rocks into the wettest paper sack, for they break most readily. In bull markets, we need to ride upon the strongest winds... they shall carry us higher than shall lesser ones.

8. Try to trade the first day of a gap, for gaps usually indicate violent new action. We have come to respect "gaps" in our nearly thirty years of watching markets; when they happen (especially in stocks) they are usually very important.

9. Trading runs in cycles: some good; most bad. Trade large and aggressively when trading well; trade small and modestly when trading poorly. In "good times," even errors are profitable; in "bad times" even the most well researched trades go awry. This is the nature of trading; accept it.

10. To trade successfully, think like a fundamentalist; trade like a technician. It is imperative that we understand the fundamentals driving a trade, but also that we understand the market's technicals. When we do, then, and only then, can we or should we, trade.

11. Respect "outside reversals" after extended bull or bear runs. Reversal days on the charts signal the final exhaustion of the bullish or bearish forces that drove the market previously. Respect them, and respect even more "weekly" and "monthly," reversals.

12. Keep your technical systems simple. Complicated systems breed confusion; simplicity breeds elegance.

13. Respect and embrace the very normal 50-62% retracements that take prices back to major trends. If a trade is missed, wait patiently for the market to retrace. Far more often than not, retracements happen... just as we are about to give up hope that they shall not.

14. An understanding of mass psychology is often more important than an understanding of economics. Markets are driven by human beings making human errors and also making super-human insights.

15. Establish initial positions on strength in bull markets and on weakness in bear markets. The first "addition" should also be added on strength as the market shows the trend to be working. Henceforth, subsequent additions are to be added on retracements.

16. Bear markets are more violent than are bull markets and so also are their retracements.

17. Be patient with winning trades; be enormously impatient with losing trades. Remember it is quite possible to make large sums trading/investing if we are "right" only 30% of the time, as long as our losses are small and our profits are large.

18. The market is the sum total of the wisdom ... and the ignorance...of all of those who deal in it; and we dare not argue with the market's wisdom. If we learn nothing more than this we've learned much indeed.

19. Do more of that which is working and less of that which is not: If a market is strong, buy more; if a market is weak, sell more. New highs are to be bought; new lows sold.

20. The hard trade is the right trade: If it is easy to sell, don't; and if it is easy to buy, don't. Do the trade that is hard to do and that which the crowd finds objectionable. Peter Steidelmeyer taught us this twenty five years ago and it holds truer now than then.

21. There is never one cockroach! This is the "winning" new rule submitted by our friend, Tom Powell.

22. All rules are meant to be broken: The trick is knowing when... and how infrequently this rule may be invoked!

To increase your trading profit you need to change your trading techniques as well. No a days technology is very helpful for stock traders and there are so many trading systems are present in the market to increase your trading profit. Online Robotic Stock Trader is one of the best trading system of 2014. This system is design to avoid the loss from your stock trading and also provide you regular profit.

If you have any query related with stock trading or you want to take expert guidance just fill this simple Form or Visit http://onlineroboticstocktrader.com/contact-us/
 

Tuesday, 22 April 2014

12 Reasons Warren Buffett Is an Incredible Investor and How You Can Learn From Him

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Warren Buffett and Charlie Munger -- not to mention Berkshire Hathaway itself -- so we'll be in Omaha, covering the event for Foolish readers that can't make it out this year. In advance of the big day, we'll be counting down on Fool.com with our annual "12 Days of Berkshire" series.

Here are the 12 reasons why Warren Buffett is one of the best investors of our time -- and how you can learn from him.

12. Warren Buffett knows how to hold stocks for the long term

What Warren does: Buffett knows the best investment wins come from owning great companies for long periods of time.
Consider Wells Fargo  (NYSE: WFC  ) , the bank that has become almost synonymous with Buffett and Berkshire because it's Berkshire's largest stock position. Buffett started buying Wells Fargo in 1989 and has owned it ever since. As of the end of 2013, gains on that position alone had created more than $10 billion in value for Berkshire shareholders.

What you can do: When you do your research and find a great company to buy, be patient and let that company work on compounding your investment over many years. With Wall Street so focused on very short periods of time, there's more opportunity than ever to benefit from time arbitrage. If you have any doubt just contact with the Stock Market Experts

11. Buffett owns up to his mistakes

What Warren does: Ego schmego, Buffett has no problem owning up to his mistakes.
Here's Buffett calling himself out in the most recent letter to Berkshire shareholders:
Most of you have never heard of Energy Future Holdings. Consider yourselves lucky; I certainly wish I hadn't... About $2 billion of the debt was purchased by Berkshire, pursuant to a decision I made without consulting with Charlie. That was a big mistake. Unless natural gas prices soar, EFH will almost certainly file for bankruptcy in 2014. Last year, we sold our holdings for $259 million. While owning the bonds, we received $837 million in cash interest. Overall, therefore, we suffered a pre-tax loss of $873 million. Next time I'll call Charlie.
What you can do: Of course it sucks to make a mistake, especially when it costs you money. But some of the best learning opportunities in investing come by learning from mistakes. So resist the urge to sweep your whoopsies under the rug, and instead throw them under the microscope to help you make a better decision the next time around.

10. Buffett knows what he's good at... and leaves the rest to others

What Warren does: Buffett is one savvy so-and-so when it comes to capital allocation -- that is, knowing the best place to invest the cash that Berkshire businesses earn. But Buffett hasn't developed any special knack for managing an operating business.
So Buffett focuses his efforts on capital allocation and delegates day-to-day operating decisions to the managers at the Berkshire subsidiaries.

What you can do: Put in your time and efforts where you can be most valuable. I believeindividual investors that have the talent and interest can beat the market and earn a substantial return for their time invested.
But if you're more dialed in to hand-weaving decorative baskets to sell on Etsy, then you may be best off cashing in on your craftiness and putting most of your investing portfolio into low-cost index funds.

9. Buffett sticks to his circle of competence

What Warren does: Buffett has spent his career developing an intimate knowledge of the finance and consumer goods industries. This gives him an edge when investing in these sectors. Berkshire's portfolio reflects the fact that Buffett largely sticks to these core competencies -- the company's top five holdings include Wells Fargo, Coca-Cola  (NYSE: KO  ) , American Express  (NYSE: AXP  ) , and Munich Re.
What you can do: Don't expect that you're going to be an expert in every industry. While diversification is good, you'll fare better over the long run if you focus your investing in the industries and types of companies that you understand the best.

8. Buffett puts his money where his best ideas are

What Warren does: At the end of 2013, Berkshire Hathaway's stock portfolio was worth $117 billion. A full 55% of that $117 billion was invested in just four stocks: Wells Fargo, Coca-Cola, IBM  (NYSE: IBM  ) , and American Express.

What you can do: Diversification is important, but if you diversify too much, you end up owning a lot of companies that you don't understand well or are able to fully follow. Diversify your portfolio, but put more money behind your best ideas -- those ideas that you've done the most work on, understand the best, and think have the most long-term upside.

7. Buffett can clearly communicate his investing approach

What Warren does: Every year Buffett writes a letter to Berkshire Hathaway's shareholders, sharing both details around Berkshire's results as well as Buffett's deep thoughts on investing. The annual letter is brilliant in the way it shares Buffett's thinking both clearly and simply -- something that's rarely found among public companies.

What you can do: Ask just about any behavioral finance expert how you can improve your investing and you're likely to hear "Keep an investing journal." Getting in the habit of clearly recording your investing thinking -- the "whys" around your investments -- can go a long way toward making you a better investor.

6. Buffett knows the best time to buy is... when nobody else is

What Warren does: One of the classic Buffett saws is "Be fearful when others are greedy, and be greedy when others are fearful." But it's more than just an overused quote -- it's actually the way Buffett invests.
There's much proof of Buffett practicing what he preaches, but you needn't look further than the October 2008 op-ed he wrote in The New York Times, "Buy American. I Am." October 2008 wasn't the bottom of the crash, but it was pretty dang close.

What you can do: In terms of replicating what Buffett does, this may be the most difficult thing I've brought up thus far. The psychological pull of the herd is incredibly powerful, and so doing the exact opposite of what everyone else can be a Herculean task. But the best buys you can make can be found when everybody else is pounding the sell button.

5. Buffett knows what it means to be patient

What Warren does: Buffett stockpiles cash. At the end of 2013, there was nearly $50 billion in cash on Berkshire Hathaway's balance sheet. Buffett would rather have much of that invested and working for investors, but he's willing to sit on impressive amounts of cash until he can find an idea really worth investing in.

What you can do: We're thinking long-term, so this isn't a sprint, it's a marathon (if not an ultramarathon). If you're finding great investment opportunities, by all means, invest in them. But don't throw money at investments simply because you have the cash. Be willing to sit on cash until you can put it into investments that are truly worthwhile.

4. Buffett knows that you've got it easier than him

What Warren doesn't do: Buffett doesn't spend much time investing in small companies. With a market capitalization of more than $300 billion, investing in small companies won't move the needle for Berkshire.
However, Buffett knows that some of the best returns are available in smaller companies and to investors with far less capital than Berkshire. Here's what Buffett's said:
It's a huge structural advantage not to have a lot of money. I think I could make you 50% a year on $1 million. No, I know I could. I guarantee that.
What you can do: Think small! In terms of growth opportunity, it's not hard to realize that a $500 million company has a lot more potential upside than a $100 billion company. That doesn't mean small companies will automatically succeed -- many, in fact, fail miserably. But a well-chosen small company can obliterate the returns of a plodding large cap.

3. Buffett learns from others

What Warren does: Buffett's investing career began in value-investing guru Benjamin Graham's classroom. As a voracious reader, Buffett continued to learn from many other investing luminaries, Phil Fisher not least among them. Buffett has also learned an enormous amount from his partner-in-crime Charlie Munger.
What you can doHumility can go a long way when it comes to investing. Being a lifetime learner and staying open-minded can help you continue to grow as an investor. There are lots of great books on investing -- from Ben Graham's Intelligent Investor to Peter Lynch's One Up On Wall Street -- but your investing can improve from insights in many other fields from business and psychology to computer science and physics.

2. Buffett doesn't get hung up on stock market forecasts

What Warren does: In short, he ignores the oodles of short-term market predictions. In fact, he put it much more forcefully in his 1992 letter to shareholders;
We've long felt that the only value of stock forecasters is to make fortune tellers look good. Even now, Charlie and I continue to believe that short-term market forecasts are poison and should be kept locked up in a safe place, away from children and also from grown-ups who behave in the market like children.
What you can do: Follow Buffett's lead and ignore short-term market forecasts. These one-year market guesses are so prevalent because news outlets think they draw viewers and readers -- sadly, they do -- and because the forecasters themselves bear little risk -- if they get it right, they'll be hailed as a genius, while if they get it wrong, nobody will even remember.

1. Buffett maintains a healthy diet

What Warren does: Ok, I'm kidding. Even though Buffett has reached the impressive age of 83, it's no secret that he doesn't take great care of himself. Buffett is known for his love of cheeseburgers and Cherry Cokes, and during the annual Berkshire Hathaway shareholder meeting he does impressive work on an array of See's Candies (mostly the ridiculously delicious peanut brittle).
What you can do: Warren Buffett is a great investor, but maybe we don't have to copy everything he does. But then again, maybe cheeseburgers and Cherry Cokes are a key contributor of his success. Perhaps we need to do some more research...

The greatest thing Warren Buffett ever said

Warren Buffett has made billions through his investing and he wants you to be able to invest like him. Through the years, Buffett has offered up investing tips to shareholders of Berkshire Hathaway.

To increase your trading profit you need to change your trading techniques as well. No a days technology is very helpful for stock traders and there are so many trading systems are present in the market to increase your trading profit. Online Robotic Stock Trader is one of the best trading system of 2014. This system is design to avoid the loss from your stock trading and also provide you regular profit.

If you have any query related with stock trading or you want to take expert guidance just fill this simple Form or Visit http://onlineroboticstocktrader.com/contact-us/


Monday, 21 April 2014

Three Best Practices For Traders

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 Keeping risk-taking down until you see markets clearly- Losing small and gaining big is what makes for excellent risk-adjusted returns.  Accepting that you’re not seeing things well is half the battle.  By continuing to actively engage markets in small size, you give yourself an opportunity to regain perspective.  Trading larger or more often out of the frustration of losing is a recipe for disaster.
 
Focusing on yourself - Very often, losses occur because market patterns have changed.  Slumps occur because your mindset has changed.  By working on yourself before you go hard at markets, you place yourself in an optimal mindset to press your advantage when things line up.  Stepping back from trading, renewing your energy, getting back to core strengths–all can help create the mindset to see markets freshly.

Searching and re-searching - Stepping back from trading doesn’t mean you step back from markets.  When times are tough, great traders double down on research and idea generation.  It’s that pipeline of ideas that will produce the next winning trades.  Research and development is what ultimately keeps your trading business alive; turning the search for trades into trading re-search turns a losing period into an opportunity for advancement.

Draw downs are inevitable.  Slumps are not.  Your job in coaching yourself is to learn from the drawdowns and use them as opportunities to make yourself better.  A drawdown only becomes a slump when it gets inside our heads and takes us away from our core strengths.  Drawdowns become business opportunities when they focus us on those strengths and prod us to expand them.

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Thursday, 17 April 2014

Learn How to Become Millionaire

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Do you want to become rich beyond your wildest dreams? The question may seem right out of a late-night infomercial — unless you follow one strategy that may actually help you achieve it: Act poor.
If you do this, you’ll be fast on your way to having a million dollars — or more. That money can buy you a lot of stuff, of course, which would allow you to act rich and show off in no time. But if you’re smart, you’ll use it to buy freedom and give yourself options that the rest of your graduating class won’t have because they just weren’t as smart coming out of the box.

What do I mean by “act poor?” Pretty much act like you have for the past four years. Maybe even live with Mom and Dad for a year or so, promising that you’ll tell them when you’re coming home at night and help with the dishes. (As a parent, I had to say that.) The point of keeping your expenses low is to save your socks off.

Your friends probably won’t be doing this. The moment they get jobs, they’re going to want a better car; fewer roommates; dinners on the town. And that’s ever so tempting to do since you’ve likely suffered through lean years as a college student. And that new job you’re getting could allow you to pay for some luxuries, even if it doesn’t pay a lot.

But there’s a great pay off to living like a college student. If you manage to save really prodigiously for just a couple of years, you can build an emergency fund that will tide you over when times are really bad. And you can get started on long-term Stock Market Investing at the best possible time.

How could I possibly say that this is the best possible time to be investing in the stock market, when stocks have gone nowhere for a full decade? I’m a student of the market, the author of Investing 101 and can say with some authority that the market’s miserable decade-long performance is exactly what spells huge opportunity for you.

A company called Ibbotson Associates has been compiling data on investments for decades. Let me throw a few of their statistics at you so you can understand why I’m so bullish — and particularly bullish for those of you who get to start investing now.

Average stock market returns from 1926 to the present work out to 9.6% for big company stocks and 11.67% for small company stocks. But stocks rarely hit that average in any given year. Instead, prices dive and soar, scaring out the faint of heart — and those who don’t understand why they’re investing. These price swings are often lasting, which is why you never invest short-term money in stocks. Put the rent money in the stock market, and a normal market swing might just send you back to living with Mom and Dad. But over the long run, those downswings are matched by equally rewarding upswings.

Consider: During the decade of the 1920s, big company stocks returned an average of 19.2%, according to Ibbotson — way above the long-term average. But the next decade was miserable, with returns on big company stocks dropping 0.1% over the 10 year period. In other words, if you invested $10,000, at the end of that decade, you would have a little less than $10,000 and probably feel demoralized. What happened then? In the 1940s, market returns were pretty manic — alternating between big losses and huge gains. The average return, however, ended at 9.2%. Still, because of the really rotten returns in the 1930s, investors could expect a “catch-up” decade and they got it. During the 1950s, average stock returns rose 19.4%.
Stock gains were below average in the 1960s and 70s —  up 7.8% and 5.9% respectively; then way above average in the 1980s and 1990s — up 17.8% and 18.2% respectively. Are you detecting a pattern?
Okay, so the relevant decade for you was the one just completed, when stock prices fell 1% on average, according to Ibbotson. That’s the worst decade in history, which is a really good sign when you’re starting now.

It’s not clear whether your “catch up” returns will hit this year, next year or some time in the future, but the chances are great that you’ll get a stretch of above-average returns. What does that mean in dollars and cents?

For the updated version of Investing 101, I did an analysis of what would happen to somebody who put $1,000 a month into the stock market starting in January of 1970 — the last really miserable decade for stocks– and stuck with it for 30 years. The first decade was rotten (5.9% returns), but the next two decades were awesome.

At the end of 30 years, this investor had $4.03 million. If he earned just the average return over that time– or earned his returns in a different order — he would have had $1 million less — $3.08 million to be precise. Why? He had the least at stake when returns were rotten and a lot of money to compound when times got good.

I know $1,000 a month is an insane amount and feels really crazy to you now. You don’t have to save that much to get a big reward; you just have to start saving as much as you can.But if you get a job where your employer offers a 401(k) plan, it’s not as hard as you might think to save even that stunning $1,000 a month. That’s because your contributions come out before tax, which reduces your out-of-pocket cost because it also cuts your tax withholding, and most employers match your contributions — some even at 100% on the dollar. In other words, you contribute $500 and your employer contributes $500. And because your contribution comes out before tax, your paycheck is reduced by just $400 (assuming you pay 20% of your income in state and federal tax).

Smart investment can give you the best returns just invest Small amount at the right place. You can invest money in Online Trading Systems these are one time investment which can give you life time returns. If you want expert guidance before your investment than just send your queries at info@onlineroboticstocktrader.com or fill this simple form. This is the right time and right place for right decision.

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Tuesday, 15 April 2014

6 Best Confidence Booster Tips By Online Robotic Stock Trader


Smart ways to raise your self-esteem

1. Greet others with a smile and look them directly in the eye. A smile and direct eye contact convey confidence born of self-respect. In the same way, answer the phone pleasantly whether at work or at home, and when placing a call, give your name before asking to speak to the party you want to reach. Leading with your name underscores that a person with self-respect is making the call.

2. Always show real appreciation for a gift or compliment. Don’t downplay or sidestep expressions of affection or honor from others. The ability to accept or receive is a universal mark of an individual with solid self-esteem.

3. Don’t brag. It’s almost a paradox that genuine modesty is actually part of the capacity to gracefully receive compliments. People who brag about their exploits or demand special attention are simply trying to build themselves up in the eyes of others—and that’s because they don’t already perceive themselves as worthy of respect.

4. Don’t make your problems the centerpiece of your conversation. Talk positively about your life and the progress you’re trying to make. Be aware of any negative thinking and take notice of how often you complain. When you hear yourself criticize someone—and this includes self-criticism—find a way to be helpful instead of critical.

5. Respond to difficult times or depressing moments by increasing your level of productive activity.When your self-esteem is challenged, don’t sit around and fall victim to “paralysis by analysis.” The late Malcolm Forbes said, “Vehicles in motion use their generators to charge their own batteries. Unless you happen to be a golf cart, you can’t recharge your battery when you’re parked in the garage!”

6. Choose to see mistakes and rejections as opportunities to learn. View a misstep as the conclusion of one performance, not the end of your entire career. Refuse to see yourself as a failure, though you must own up to your shortcomings. A failure may be something you have done—and it may even be something you’ll have to do again on the way to success—but a failure is definitely not something you are. Even if you’re at a point where you’re feeling very negatively about yourself, be aware that you’re now ideally positioned to make rapid and dramatic improvement.

A negative self-evaluation, if it’s honest and insightful, takes much more courage and character than the self-delusions that underlie arrogance and conceit. I’ve seen the truth of this proven many times in my work with athletes. After an extremely poor performance, a team or an individual athlete often does much better the next time out, especially when the poor performance was so bad that there was simply no way to shirk responsibility for it. Disappointment, defeat, and even apparent failure are in no way permanent conditions unless we choose to make them so. On the contrary, these undeniably painful experiences can be the solid foundation on which to build future success.

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Friday, 11 April 2014

Investment Tips - This Man Will Make You Rich

John C. Bogle

Follow these rules from one of the world's legendary investors, and your future will be flush—guaranteed

OVERVIEW

John C. "Jack" Bogle, 84, has influenced your life in a major way—assuming you have a 401(k) or ever invested in a mutual fund. Back in 1975, Bogle created this radical tool called an "index fund," an intentionally boring mutual fund that mirrors the performance of a broad-market index. He championed low-cost, long-term investing and founded the only client-owned mutual-fund company, Vanguard, which manages a cool $2.1 trillion (but doesn't take a profit). Bogle has written 10 books that are essential reading for anyone investing today. (Start with 2008's Enough.) Want to retire with a pile of dough? Then read on.

Forget "The Market"

"When we all speak of 'the stock market,' it's meaningless. It's merely the value investors put on all those securities, thousands of different stocks with a value of $15 trillion. It goes up and it goes down, but in the long run it goes up. The stock market [fluctuation], therefore, is noise. A giant distraction from the business of investing."

Understand Your Role

"Your job is to capture as much of the market return as possible for as long as possible. The only way to start investing for a lifetime is to buy a broad-market index fund. Don't pick an actively managed mutual fund. Don't pick stocks. Don't pick hedge funds. In the long run, I believe in owning the stock market, not having a manager own little pieces of it for you."

Don't Kid Yourself

"I ask people: What is the intellectual basis for indexing? Reduce cost and you maximize your fair share of the market return. What is the intellectual basis for active managing or stock picking? It's basically 'I can do better.' Is that an intellectual basis? No! It's a hope, it's a brag, and it has no chance of ever being realized in the long run."

Seek Boredom

"I look at indexing as being simple and, sad to say, boring. Be bored by the process but elated by the outcome. In Vegas, it's the opposite. You're elated by the process, by the moment, but you're bored by the outcome because you know exactly what it'll be. The more you bet, the more you lose. Investing shouldn't give you a rush."

Think Ahead. Way Ahead

"It's foolishness to think you can beat the market. There are only two things working here: How much did it cost to get into the market, and how long are you in? If you're investing for a lifetime-and you should be, saving for retirement and educating your kids along the way—if you're 20 years old now, you should be thinking 60 or 65 years as your time horizon."

Forget "the Number"

"There used to be a company that purported to tell you 'the Number' [how much you need to retire]. It's more complex than that. It's what those dollars are worth in 30, 40, 50 years. Everyone is looking for the Answer, and there really isn't an answer except save. Save more. Invest for the long term, get cost out of the equation, and get diversified to the nth degree."

Invest, Don't Trade

"All the trading back and forth each day has been called financial pornography. Paying attention minute to minute, hanging on every word, this is not investing. This is trading on what you think other traders will do. How can you tell who's right and who's wrong? It's a casino. Whether it's Wall Street, the lottery, or Las Vegas, 'hope' is not a good investment strategy."

Do Some Math

"Should the market return 7 percent, and you're paying 2 percent to managers and brokers to get that 7, you get 5. [The rest] goes to the croupiers on Wall Street, the managers, the traders, the speculators."

Keep It Simple

"The rules are simple. If you don't save, you will have nothing. Guaranteed. Not investing is not an alternative. I have an age-based rule of thumb: Have a bond position that equals your age. If you're 25, have 25 percent in bonds, the rest in an index fund. Today, bond yields are so low, so this doesn't work quite as neatly as it worked for a long time. But it's simple."

Don't Peek at Statements

"This is one of the most important rules of investing. If you never peek from the age of 20 to the age of 70, you'll rip that first 401(k) statement open at age 70, and I recommend you have a doctor on hand because you'll go into a dead faint. Your heart might even stop. You're going to have an amount of money you can't even imagine."

Know Your Limitations

"Sometimes the market is valued way higher than the growth line, and sometimes it's valued way lower. If you could forecast that, you'd sell at the high and buy in at the low. But here's the thing: I don't know how to do it. I don't know anybody who knows how to do that. And I don't know anybody who knows anybody who knows how to do it. It's a fool's game."

Don't Panic, Be Cool

"In this decade, the heavy lifting will have to be done by stocks. If stocks deliver 7 percent, you'll have 100 percent return in 10 years. And there will be bumps! I don't want to deceive anyone. I can guarantee that there will be at least two or three 20 or 30 percent bear markets in that time frame. Just assume them. When they happen, just say, 'I knew that.'"

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Thursday, 10 April 2014

Top Wealth-Creating Stocks Defying Stock Market Sell-Off?

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With the broader stock market selling off, it’s amazing to see a company’s share price defy the near-term trend and appreciate in value. 

Time and time again, Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) gets bid when the broader market faces convulsion. It’s a powerful signal, and there is still a great deal of angst among institutional investors; they still want those dividends and the relative safety of earnings that are predictable. 

Johnson & Johnson has been—and continues to be—an excellent wealth creator. The stock’s been bouncing off $95.00 a share the last while and just recently, it seems to have broken past this price ceiling. 
There’s not a lot new with this position. One Wall Street firm recently boosted its earnings expectations for the company in 2015. Sales growth is expected to be in the low single-digits this year, but annual earnings growth combined with dividends should be in the low double digits once again. The company reports its first-quarter numbers on April 15. 

There’s definitely been a change in investor sentiment regarding speculative positions. Biotechnology stocks, which have been the market’s multiyear winning sector have finally seen investors book profits. It’s been long overdue and from a market perspective, is a healthy development for the primary trend. 
The selling migrated to large-cap technology names and the shakedown just might last a while longer. Anything can happen during an earnings season, but a “sell in May and go away” type of scenario is a real possibility again this year. 

Other blue chip names that are also defying the market’s recent action include 3M Company (MMM), Union Pacific Corporation (UNP), Kimberly-Clark Corporation (KMB), Microsoft Corporation (MSFT), Caterpillar Inc. (CAT), United Technologies Corporation (UTX), and The Walt Disney Company (DIS). 
Even though the Dow Jones Industrial Average pulled back with the NASDAQ Composite, many component companies are either pushing or trading right near their highs. This price resilience among the big names is important and makes me worry less about a change in the market’s primary trend. 
Johnson & Johnson boasts a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 15, according to Morningstar. The company’s been increasing its earnings per share consistently the last few years, along with its annual dividends. 

In 2009, the company paid out $1.93 per share. This grew to $2.25 by 2011 and to $2.59 in 2013. 
Even though this stock has gone up tremendously the last few years, it can keep doing so if it meets or beats consensus, because institutional investors want the company’s earnings reliability. Portfolio safety and risk are two very important attributes and recent market action illustrates how essential it is not to let investment risk and portfolio management go by the wayside. 

Johnson & Johnson has proven itself to be a dividend-paying stock that’s worth considering when it’s down. According to history, it’s not typically a company that’s down in price for long. Stocks that outperform the broader market over the long haul make for great bedrock positions in an equity portfolio. Johnson & Johnson’s been doing this for years.

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Tuesday, 8 April 2014

Wall Street Breakfast: Must-Know News By ORST

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Economy

Indians have begun to vote in the world's largest election, which involves an electorate of 815M people. The ballot comprises nine rounds and will take five weeks, and results are due on May 16. The favorite to win is the Bharatiya Janata Party led by Narendra Modi, who has business support. Hopes that he can form a stable coalition and revive India's moribund economy have boosted the country's markets recently.

Nigeria's economy has passed South Africa's to become the largest in Africa after the government overhauled the way it calculates GDP. Nigeria now estimates that the size of its economy is 80T naira ($488B) vs a World Bank 2012 figure of $262.6B. However, the country suffers from much poverty, corruption, a massive lack of infrastructure and rampant oil theft. Still, that hasn't stopped investment from the likes of GE (GE), Yum Brands (YUM) and Procter & Gamble (PG).

Stocks

Holcim and Lafarge, the world's two biggest cement makers, have agreed to an all-share merger of equals that will create a company with over $40B in annual sales and a market cap of $50B. To assuage antitrust concerns, the companies plan to sell assets worth 10-15% of their global EBITDA, which stands at €6.5B combined. At the time of writing, Holcim's (OTCPK:HCMLY) shares were +2% in Zurich and those of Lafarge (OTCPK:LFRGY) were +2.8% in Paris.

Potash Corp CEO Bill Doyle plans to step down in July after 15 years in the job and will be replaced by Jochen Tilk, the former head of Inmet Mining, which was acquired by First Quantum Minerals for C$4.9B last year. Tilk takes over at Potash (POT) amid a difficult market in which prices have fallen following the break-up of a major cartel.

BlackRock is giving new roles to at least 10 senior managers as it looks to prepare a successor to co-founder and CEO Laurence Fink. The money manager has promoted COO Charles Hallac to be Co-President with Robert Kapito, and given him the job of developing strategy and potential leaders. Rob Goldstein, the head of BlackRock's (BLK) institutional client business, will replace Hallac as COO.

Vivendi has decided to sell its SFR unit to Luxembourg-based cable and mobile provider Altice despite Bouygues (OTC:BOUYF) sweetening its offer for the mobile business at the last minute. Altice will pay €14.25B in cash and give Vivendi (OTCPK:VIVEF) a 20% stake in a company that will be created via the merger of SFR and Altice's French Numericable subsidiary. The whole deal is worth over €17B ($23.3B), above the €16-16.5B that Bouygues bid.

GlaxoSmithKline is investigating allegations of possible bribery in Iraq, the company said yesterday. GSK (GSK) was responding to a report that it had been warned that it was breaching U.S. and U.K. anti-bribery regulations by recruiting government-paid doctors to promote its products and paying for them to go to international conferences. Last summer, GSK was accused of bribery in China as part of an attempt to boost sales.

New York has reportedly opened a civil investigation into whether Credit Suisse (CS) lied about engineering tax shelters for U.S. citizens. The probe, led by Benjamin Lawsky, New York's financial services superintendent, adds to one by the Justice Department into the role that Credit Suisse played in helping U.S. citizens evade taxes. The DOJ could fine the bank over $780M, the amount that UBS (UBS) paid in a similar case.

Pfizer's Palbociclib treatment doubled progression-free survival to 20.2 months in a Phase 2 trial of 165 patients with advanced breast cancer. Palbociclib is part of a new class of drug called CDK 4/6 inhibitors, which limit the activity of two enzymes involved in cell division. Palbociclib is considered a potential blockbuster for Pfizer (PFE) and is forecast to sell $3.11B by 2020. Amgen (AMGN) would receive an 8% royalty on any sales.

Yahoo reportedly plans to order four full-length Web TV series and is willing to pay from $700,000 to a few million dollars per episode for half-hour comedies of 10 episodes. The report comes as Yahoo (YHOO) struggles to grow online ad revenue nearly two years into Marissa Mayer's tenure as CEO. Two previous original video series have ended production.

Sun Pharmaceutical Industries has agreed to acquire fellow Indian company Ranbaxy Laboratories for $3.2B in an all-stock deal that will create the world's fifth-largest generic-drug maker. The merger combines two firms that have had problems with quality issues. Ranbaxy, which is owned by Japan's Daiichi Sankyo (OTCPK:DSKYF), is banned from selling ingredients to the U.S., while Sun's Karkhadi facility is also not allowed to export products to the U.S.

Cnooc is reportedly thinking about selling its 50% holding in Argentina's Bridas Corp, which the Chinese offshore oil and gas explorer bought for $3.1B in 2010. Cnooc (CEO) would divest the stake if it can make a profit and would use the money for other projects. Hong Kong analyst Neil Beveridge would welcome a deal. "The contribution from Argentina is minimal, and the investment as a whole puts Cnooc in a passive position."

General Motors reportedly intends to invest $450M in two Michigan operations and add 1,400 jobs as part of the company's plans to build a redesigned Chevrolet Volt hybrid vehicle. An announcement about GM's (GM) program is set for tomorrow.

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Saturday, 5 April 2014

Economic Outlook For Rest Of 2014: Acceleration

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Summary
  • US households and businesses have accumulated enormous hoards of liquidity. The gradual normalization of risk aversion and liquidity preferences will drive a significant acceleration of spending growth.
  • On aggregate, the balance sheets of consumers and businesses - and their liquidity position in particular - are the most favorable they have been in the past three decades.
  • The average age of household consumer durables and US business capital stock is at a record high, suggesting that there is significant pent-up demand.
  • A self-sustaining cycle of improved sentiment, accelerated spending and higher income seems to have already kicked off.
  • In this report, I will briefly outline the impact of accelerated US growth on key investable asset classes, such as the S&P 500, 10Y US Treasury yields and gold.
In the wake of the financial crisis of 2007-2009, the recovery has been the weakest of any sustained economic expansion in US history. However, the US economy seems poised for a significant acceleration for the remainder of 2014.
Consumer Spending To Accelerate

Many analysts are still talking about "balance sheet recessions" and "household deleveraging." The problem is that was yesterday's news. After several years of restructuring, reduced spending growth, increased savings rates and debt-reduction, US household balance sheets are in better shape than they have been since the early to mid-1980s, based on a wide variety of metrics. Whether you look at debt service-to-income, debt-to-income, consumer loan delinquency rates, cash balances as a percent of income, or household net worth, the US consumer balance sheets are, on aggregate, in the best shape they have been in several decades.

Business Expenditure

There are several reasons to believe that the business expenditure cycle will accelerate appreciably in 2014.
First, the age of US capital stock is at an all-time high, meaning that there is considerable pent-up demand to replace equipment, software and the like.
Second, capital expenditures have started to rebound, but is still only at levels associated with previous economic cycle troughs. This suggests that capex must accelerate significantly in order to be able to cope with a normalization of consumer demand.

Risks

As with any forecast, there are risks. I briefly outline some of the major risks below:
  • Surging interest rates. My forecast of accelerated economic growth and concomitantly higher bond yields will bring about major risks of a disorderly adjustment by financial markets that could cause a subsequent slowdown in economic growth.
  • Instability in oil-producing countries. Surging oil prices have historically acted as recovery-killers. Therefore, instability in major oil-producing nations is always a looming threat.
  • China hard landing. The Chinese government has considerable monetary and fiscal leeway to attempt to engineer a soft landing. Having said that, given the enormous magnitude of economic imbalances in China, such an outcome is far from certain.
  • Europe relapse. The massive structural problems that beset the EU have not been adequately addressed, and the economic and political situation in many key countries remains fragile. Therefore, although my base case is for continued cyclical recovery, a relapse cannot be ruled out.
  • First-quarter weakness. Skeptics can point to the deceleration of economic activity in the first quarter as a negative indicator of growth going forward. However, a number of detailed analyses of regional weather trends and industry data have shown that the bulk of this deceleration has been weather-related. Underlying economic activity has remained solid and point to increasing strength.
Major Investment Implications

In my upcoming 2014 Investment Outlook, I will provide a much fuller overview of the impacts of my macroeconomic forecasts on various asset classes. For now, I will only briefly summarize a few of the implications that flow directly from the economic outlook that has been outlined in this report.

1. The bear market in bonds will intensify. Prices of long-term bonds, including long-term US Treasury Bonds, will probably perform poorly.

2. US equities will become more volatile, but significant new highs likely. Bond market instability could trigger stock market pullbacks and/or corrections. However, the combination of excess liquidity and the normalization of risk aversion and liquidity preferences suggests that equities should remain well-bid. S&P 500 and the Dow Jones Industrial Average should make significant new highs.

3. Continued emerging markets volatility. Accelerating US growth and rising bond yields are bad news for many emerging markets that are dependent on capital inflows. Emerging markets equities and funds, such as iShares MSCI Emerging Markets (EEM) are likely to continue to underperform.

4. Strong US dollar. Accelerated US economic growth and higher bond yields suggest a strong US dollar (UUP).

5. Gold and commodities. The prior four points are all negative for gold and commodities for the remainder of 2014.

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Thursday, 3 April 2014

6 Golden Rules For Profitable Stock Trading

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1). The typical trader who is struggling will look for outside information that completes the puzzle or “holy grail” of trading. Go and look at yourself in the mirror. This is the missing piece in the trading puzzle.

2). Mental rehearsal (of both positive and negative scenarios), positive imagery, inducing a relaxed state of mind, and developing daily rituals can help put you in the flow state of mind for trading.

3). The most important question a trader can ask: “Am I acting in my own best interest right now?”. Menaker explains why this question will help you define your risk and maximize your opportunities and trading results.

4). The very largest traders are focused primarily on risk management. Accepting and managing risk is a big part of trading. Some traders have difficulty following rules in this area. We should spend time learning about the mental biases humans have against suffering losses (see: Prospect Theory) and become aware of these showing up in our trading. Keep a trading journal to highlight awareness of these events.

5). “If I was forced to rank the importance of [various aspects] of trading, setups would be at the bottom of the list. Position sizing, risk management, and psychology are really what’s going to keep you out of trouble and ahead of the game. The best traders understand this and have internalized it.”.

6). You need to learn to do more of what works and less of what doesn’t. While it sounds obvious, many traders have difficulty with this as their unman aged emotions are interfering with their perceptions and trading process. 

7). If you are facing loss from your Stock Trading than you need to change your trading methods. So many traders are using traditional methods for stock trading but they are bot so effective now we need to use Automated Trading System to increase the trading profit. 

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Tuesday, 1 April 2014

S&P Long - Ask Yourself One Question, Do You Feel Lucky?


Summary
  • Varying reports and analysis of Russian troop movements seem to offer some hope and fuel for stocks and the SPDR S&P 500 (SPY) this morning.
  • Questions remain this week about Russia's intentions with regard to Ukraine and the broader region, and also about the Employment Situation Report due on Friday.
  • So investors considering going long stocks and the SPY security today had better first ask themselves, "Do I feel lucky?"
A couple of key elements threaten to shake up the market this week like a Colt 45 Magnum barrel lined up to your brain. Perhaps the most threatening of those is the geopolitical standoff between Russia and the West, with Ukraine held hostage in between. Major Western media sources are still talking today about the threatening Russian military presence along the Ukraine border and the lack of a deal after John Kerry met again with Sergei Lavrov for four hours Sunday. But other media outlets are today reporting a steady withdrawal of Russian forces, which would be on the demand of Kerry that no deal could be struck while those forces remain threatening Ukraine. So this week, SPDR S&P 500 (SPY) longs must ask yourselves one question, "Do I feel lucky?" Because the direction of these events will very likely direct capital into or out of the S&P 500 and stocks generally this week. Investors do not necessarily need to choose long or short, though; you can play it safe and remain long, while hedging against risk using these securities.

Somewhat Conflicting Messages from Varying Sources

On the one hand, from some media, we are hearing that Russian troops are withdrawing from the border. On the other hand, from Western major media sources early this AM, we had only been hearing that long talks between leaders have led to nothing thus far, and that Ukrainians are bracing for war. Even if Russia is withdrawing troops, it would not be the first time they had done so only to send them back in bigger numbers. Just see this story from March 4th. As I scribble here, Fox News just reported on television that Russia has announced that one battalion is withdrawing from the border with Ukraine after finishing military exercises, though according to Fox TV, Ukraine sources say they are simply repositioning. Obviously, anything is still possible, but a positive catalyst seems to have emerged this morning on such a withdrawal.

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1-Month Chart at Yahoo Finance

Extended valuation momentum names, which I feel had been harmed most over the last month by macro questions about the economy, the Fed and Russia, are mostly recovering sharply today. You can see how far they've fallen with a quick glance at the one-month chart above, which compares their performance to the SPDR S&P 500 security. Still, when considering their year-to-date performance and the trailing twelve-month data, you can see just how far these stocks had run into their most recent question.

SecurityThis AMYTDTTM
SPDR S&P 500+0.8%+1.3%+19.4%
Facebook (FB)+2.5%+12.2%+140%
Tesla (TSLA)-2.1%+39%+452%
Netflix (NFLX)+0.2%-2.2%+90%
3D Systems (DDD)+1.4%-35.6%+86%

Can the nearly one-point gain hold this week for the SPY? Well, there's more to worry about than just the sincerity of Russia. We will receive the latest Employment Situation data on Friday. Over the last several months, this data has been distressing, to say the least. However, economists are looking for an improvement in the report for March. The economists' consensus forecasts unemployment will dip to 6.6% from 6.7%, and that nonfarm payrolls will increase by 206K, a step up from February's 175K+. So, as we head into this week, the news and expectations so far are positive. But stocks have already recovered the ground they lost on the Crimea incursion and the Fed scare, save for the momentum names. So, in placing new long bets in stocks and the SPDR S&P 500, I think we must ask ourselves, "Do we feel lucky?"

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